“The incidence rate has been detected and the number of deaths is already twice as high as last year’s values. The observed mortality rate remains close to 3%, and the age structure of patients does not give grounds to expect a significant decrease,” the forecast says.
At the same time, the epidemiological situation is different in the regions of Ukraine.
“The incidence of diseases in the east and south of the country has significantly increased against the background of a relatively calm situation in the west,” the scientists emphasized.
According to their forecast, the regions where the largest number of infected are expected are Dnepropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporozhye, Lviv, Odessa and Kharkiv area.
An outbreak of coronavirus infection began at the end of 2019 in China. 11 March 2020 World Health Organization declared the spread of coronavirus a pandemic.
In Ukraine the epidemic situation is gradually deteriorating, said the chief sanitary doctor Igor Kuzin on August 4. In the summer, less than 2 thousand cases were recorded daily in the country; in September, the figure increased.
Due to the spread of the mutation a new wave is expected in autumn in Ukraine the incidence of coronavirus infection, said the head of the Ministry of Health Viktor Lyashko on August 19. The largest increase in the number of cases of COVID-19, according to his forecasts, expected in winter.
Since the beginning of the epidemic in Ukraine, almost 2.5 million cases of coronavirus infection have been confirmed, more than 57.8 thousand patients with COVID-19 have died, and about 2.3 million people have recovered.
Over the past day, the country has confirmed 15 125 new cases coronavirus infection, the largest – in the Kharkiv region (1168).
According to the indicator indicators of the Ministry of Health, 12 regions of Ukraine correspond to the “orange” level of epidemic danger.