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how long it will continue to mutate and what will happen to vaccines

The first news that came from China they spoke of a virus that exceeded the usual parameters. Then we understood that in addition to the variant of the place where it had originated -in Wuhan- the Covid 19 mutated and was generating new variants of concern. Between them, Delta. Appeared vaccines with different technologies although all created against that first version of the coronavirus. Today, the possibility of a third is added to the two doses and the options worldwide are diverse: combination vaccines, improved doses and up to a spray nasal to advance on the prevention of contagion. The specialists consulted by Clarion they answer about the chances of developing new mutations and the way forward in relation to vaccines.

“In the evolutionary process of the virus, mutations and new ones will surely continue to appear”, Says Horacio Salomón, biochemist, doctor in Virology and senior researcher at the Conicet. Against them, it is likely that next year “some vaccines are adapted so that the escape of the immune response is less ”.

“This does not mean that the available vaccines stop working. I don’t even think the development of a new vaccine is so relevant today, although there is a possibility that the famous third dose come with some improvement, for example, against Delta, ”he says.

In this line is that Pfizer announced that it is making a vaccine against the Delta variant. However, the CEO of the pharmaceutical company, Albert Bourla, told the US television network NBC that he does not believe it is necessary. “The current vaccine against Covid 19 works very well against the variant,” he contributed in this regard.

Electron microscope image of SARS-CoV-2, the cause of Covid-19, emerging from the surface of cells. Photo EFE


The important thing about that third dose, according to Solomon, is that it works as booster and raise the levels of neutralizing antibodies so that, in case of contagion, the body eliminates the virus quickly. “There is still no concrete data on when it would be convenient to receive this vaccine. A good idea would be to guarantee a generalized reinforcement one year after the second dose ”, he details.

And he explains that it is not clear either what will happen after delta, especially if other mutations arise that evade the body’s ability to defend itself. “It is very difficult to make predictions. The key now is in complete schematicsThat is the way to prevent the virus from replicating on a large scale and, consequently, from continuing to mutate ”, he adds.

Strains and variants

For Belkys Maletto, biochemist, doctor in Chemical Sciences and researcher at Conicet, it is not so easy to refer to the future of the coronavirus. “Although analogies are made between Covid and Influenza and that is why at some point there was talk of the possibility of offering a different vaccine each year, the truth is that the coronavirus behaves very dynamic and unexpected and we still cannot specify what will happen ”.

Most of the vaccines developed to date are focused on protein S (spike) or even in a part of that protein that is RBD. Is that that is the access route of the virus to the body: Through the spike of the coronavirus is that the virus binds to the receptor of the cell and infects it. “That key with which the Covid tries to enter was slightly modified in order to evade the immune system. For a new vaccine to be necessary, a variant that drastically changes the S protein should emerge, that would be almost like facing a new virus “, he remarks and points out that he considers it” unlikely “.

Vaccination at the La Rural headquarters in Palermo.  Photo Rafael Mario Quinteros

Vaccination at the La Rural headquarters in Palermo. Photo Rafael Mario Quinteros


He agrees with Solomon that the vaccines available are effective against the mutations that are known to this day. It also warns that most of the conclusions about the new variants and the immunity generated by vaccines are drawn on the basis of the humoral response (neutralizing antibodies). “And that is not the only defense we have,” highlights the expert, who is a professor of Clinical Biochemistry at the Faculty of Chemical Sciences of the National University of Córdoba.

“The memory cell response it is not usually considered because it is more expensive to measure. But it should also be taken into account as a useful tool ”, he highlights. It refers to B lymphocytes, which serve to recognize the virus and generate antibodies, and T lymphocytes, which develop a series of molecules capable of attacking the coronavirus. “There is a study done on T lymphocytes that shows that its scope does not change with the emergence of new variants of concern ”, he comments and cites a work published in the magazine Cell July of this year.

Alternative vaccines

According to Maletto, do not think that salvation is in a new vaccine. “You can adjust certain details for a third dose, although that third dose can also be reinforced by the hand of vacunas heterologous. For example, that a person who received two from Sinopharm adds a reinforcement from Pfizer ”, he sums up. And he adds: “Even before the coronavirus, it was known that combining different vaccine platforms translated into an improvement in the quantity and quality of antibodies.”

He says that certain vaccines can be refined although he assures that it is impossible to keep up with the Covid: “It is not rational or practical to modify vaccines every two or three months, which is the time when a new variant emerges.”

The other limitation, according to Maletto, is that there are still countries without even a dose. “Already said the World Health Organization (WHO), it is not advisable to give the third dose to some when there are others who have not received the first one yet. And not only because of the consequences on that unprotected population, but also because in those territories in which the virus circulates freely, the possibilities that new significant mutations arise”, He confirms.

The element that could make a difference for the specialist is the development of a nasal-administered vaccine. “There are already clinical trials, although they are pending approval. It would be one more step to achieve upper airway immunity and thus advance not only against serious disease but also on the prevention of infection “, he closes.

MG

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