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Hispanic vote, a big question in Florida | U.S

MIAMI (AP) – Kamala Harris’s caravan passed through Colombian neighborhoods and made a brief stop in Doral – also called “Doral-zuela,” because of the number of Venezuelans who live there – before crossing the Cuban stronghold of Hialeah, without stopping.

On her first trip to Florida, however, Joe Biden’s running mate did little to woo the vote of the growing Hispanic population, whose political clout is on the rise. Rather, she focused on the African-American leaders waiting for her at a historically black Miami Gardens college.

“You are the future of our country,” she said through a megaphone at Florida Memorial University, where she was greeted by a band and held an hour-long talk with local African-American leaders. “You are the ones who will inspire us and those who will fight for the ideals of our country.”

In one of the most crucial states for the November election, many Democrats fear that Biden is losing ground among Hispanics and giving Donald Trump a chance to win. This prompted renewed efforts by Biden, Harris, and their allies to attract the vote of seniors, suburbs, and African Americans to offset the losses they may suffer elsewhere.

New York billionaire Mike Bloomberg pledged over the weekend to contribute at least $ 100 million to help Democrats in Florida. Biden plans to make his first visit to Florida on Tuesday since winning the presidential nomination. He will participate in a panel discussion with Tampa veterans before attending a Hispanic Heritage Month event in Kissimmee.

If Biden reconquers the north-central part of the country for the Democrats, he will not need Florida to win the White House. As for Trump, he has virtually no chance of being reelected if he doesn’t win in Florida. That is why the state is one of the great priorities of the Democrats.

Democratic concern over Biden’s popularity in Florida is fueled by an NBC-Marist poll released last week that the Hispanic vote is sharply divided between Biden and Trump. The same poll gave Hillary Clinton 59% of that vote to Trump’s 36% in 2016, the year Trump won Florida by one percentage point.

Hispanics in Florida tend to vote Republican in higher percentages than in the rest of the country because of the large Cuban population in the state. At the national level there is not much information available about the voting intentions of that community this year.

Florida observers say Democrats have reason to worry about the Hispanic vote.

“I think the Biden campaign has a lot of work ahead of it,” said Javier Fernández, a Democrat running for the state Senate for Miami-Dade County, where seven out of ten residents identify as of Latin American origin. “I don’t think they’re very enthusiastic about Joe Biden.”

Bernie Sanders, who led the polls among Hispanics early in the Democratic primary, said Sunday that Biden should “court more intensely” Hispanics.

This would imply a more focused, and costly campaign that takes into account the complexity of the Hispanic vote in Florida, with messages targeting Miami Cubans, Dominicans and Venezuelans, first- and second-generation Central American immigrants, and Puerto Ricans. displaced by Hurricane Maria who settled in Florida.

The campaign is broadcasting announcements with rapporteurs in Spanish with the typical accents of each community.

Those close to Biden’s campaign admit privately that he may not win by the same margin as Clinton, but they believe he can succeed among Hispanics. Strategist Cristóbal Alex said the campaign has been running ads in Spanish for months and has launched “Hispanic leadership councils” across the country.

“As we get closer to November, you’re going to see a lot more activity to capture the Hispanic vote,” Alex said.

Ashley Allison, a strategist for Biden’s campaign, said they have made progress across sectors such as seniors, progressives, veterans and Native peoples, among others. Biden’s folks have intensively courted the African-American vote in recent days, with virtual events that included Harris and celebrities like Don Cheadle.

“We don’t have to focus on just one path, one bloc of voters. We can expand the map, ”said Becca Siegel, Biden’s campaign analyst.

Trump, for his part, feels that Democrats are vulnerable. During a tour of the west of the country, he participated in a panel discussion with Hispanics in Las Vegas on Sunday and had another scheduled in Phoenix for Monday.

“They understand the situation on the southern border. They want people to come, and me too, but they want them to come legally, “Trump told a small group of supporters in Las Vegas. “While Joe Biden has failed them, I have delivered with Hispanics.”

The uncertainty surrounding Hispanics confuses many Democrats in light of Trump’s repeated comments against immigration, his problems containing the pandemic and his lax response to the hurricane that devastated Puerto Rico. The biggest affront to Hispanics, critics say, was his decision to adopt a zero tolerance policy and to separate families on the Mexican border.

Two years after the images of those separations caused commotion, the unrest caused by that policy is still perceived on 89th Avenue in the Westchester neighborhood of Miami, with one-story stucco houses, through which Harris’s caravan passed .

Ernesto Palacios, a 70-year-old Cuban-American citizen, says he voted for Trump in 2016 but will not do so again.

“He lost my vote when he separated families and treated children like animals,” Palacios said during an interview as conservative activists toured the neighborhood.

He clarified, however, that this did not mean that he would vote for Biden. He described the Democratic candidate as “weak” and expressed concern about the liberal sectors’ proposal to reduce the police budget, something that Biden does not support.

A neighbor of Palacios, Juan Guzmán, left Cuba at the age of 15, under the government of Fidel Castro. He describes Biden as “a socialist” and said it was totally out of the question to vote for him.

Carlos Odio, co-founder of the Democratic pollster Equis Labs, said that Biden will comfortably win the Hispanic vote, but that it does not generate much enthusiasm and that this could prevent many people from going to the polls, a factor that could be key in Florida.

“The mobilization of the electorate is vital for Biden,” said Odio. “People are not deciding between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, but between going or not going to vote.”

Domingo García, president of the League of United Latin American Citizens, said many Hispanic voters welcome Trump’s conservative religious stances and his warnings about the violence of protests and socialism.

“You need a message that is very exciting to the Hispanic community, such as health care for all or addressing the issue of immigration in the first 100 days. Biden has not been very firm in those areas, “said Garcia.

Part of the skepticism of Hispanics regarding Biden is due to the policies of the administration of Barack Obama, in which Biden was vice president. During an event, Biden apologized for the high rates of deportations under that government.

Biden, on the other hand, has refused to take some of the positions of the more liberal sectors of the Democratic party on immigration.

It asserts, for example, that illegal border crossing should be considered a criminal, not a civil offense. And it doesn’t propose free college education or free health care for people without a residency permit, as Trump says.

During his tour of Florida last week Harris did not completely ignore the Hispanic community.

He made an unscheduled stop at a Venezuelan restaurant where he ordered food and spent 20 minutes. He rehearsed a few words in Spanish while chatting with clients at lunchtime. She introduced her husband as “my husband” and said “thank you” to someone who welcomed him to “Doral-zuela.”

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Weissert reported from Washington. Associated Press reporters Alexandra Jaffe and Emily Swanson contributed from Washington and Jonathan Lemire contributed from Las Vegas.

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