[The Epoch Times, 25 ottobre 2022](Full report by Daphra, Epoch Times reporter) Over the past two years, Democrats have been in controlCongressBoth Houses and the White House, with the United Statesmid-term electionsCome on, they may no longer have such great power.
on November 8mid-term electionshalf,republicanman is expected to winHouse of Representatives, which stems from US voters’ dissatisfaction with the current state of the economy and the preponderance of the district reorganization that occurs every 10 years. But the Democrats are also trying to consolidate their power.
The outlook for the Senate appears to be worseHouse of Representativesclear,republicanPeople are trying to regain control. Several contests in key battlefield states have been tightened, leading Republican Senate leader Mitch McConnell to say his party only has a 50-50 chance of winning a majority.
If the Republicans win the Senate or the Chamber of Deputies in the elections, tooCongressFull control of the two houses, what will happen next?
Republicans turn the House upside down
Democrats, led by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have held the majority since 2018, when they won the first mid-term elections under then-President Donald Trump. If Republicans get five of those seats in dozens of disputed districts, they could take back the House and are trying to win dozens of them.
America’s election history also gives Republicans reason to be optimistic. In modern times, the party that controls the White House has lost control of Congress in nearly every midterm election of a president’s first term.
If the Republicans win the House on November 8, the GOP caucus will elect a new speaker who will take power on January 3, 2023. They will head each committee and decide which bills go to the House.
House of Representatives controlled by the Republicans
Republican House Leader Kevin McCarthy has unveiled his “Commitment to America” program, which includes policies to combat inflation, illegal immigration and allow women-only sports to play for women. Here is an overview of the economic, border security and other policies that Republicans will propose at the start of the next Congress.
It would be a win for Trump if the Republicans regain control of the House of Representatives. The vast majority of Republicans are expected to return to Washington next year, and most of those hoping to win a first term are loyal to Trump and emulate him in politics and position.
Among these allies are members of traditional conservatives, such as Georgia Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, who has been stripped of her House committee job by Democrats due to her conservative rhetoric, but will become a Republican member of the House of the vast majority. of government. Green was behind McCarthy as she presented “Commitment to America” in Pennsylvania last month.
What the Republican House means for Biden
If Republicans take control of the House, democratic priorities such as abortion, the fight against climate change and tighter gun control will be suspended immediately. Most, if not all, of President Biden’s agenda will not actually move forward in the last two years of his term.
However, no bill would become law unless Biden signed it. For the government to function, bills are needed to finance the government, raise the debt ceiling and deal with the military. Bills are likely to be a hot spot in negotiations between Republicans, Democrats, and the White House.
Biden, who has served in the Senate for decades, has often touted his bipartisan credentials and said he wants to work with Republicans.
The future of the Senate
While the Senate could target both sides of the party after the midterm elections, the majority could still get a very narrow advantage. This means that Biden will be able to find more common ground in the Senate, regardless of which party is in control. Much of Biden’s legislative accomplishments during his tenure were a byproduct of bipartisan negotiations in the Senate.
However, the Republican-led Senate could put pressure on Biden by passing the bill presented to the House of Republicans. Republicans would regain control of the committees and thus the power to investigate and monitor the government.
The Republican Senate could also make life difficult for Biden in the White House by blocking or delaying the passage of candidates to the president’s judicial and executive branch.
If the Democrats win the Senate
If the Democrats control the Senate and the Republicans win the House, the two chambers are unlikely to find common ground. But Republicans could try to persuade moderates in the Democratic Senate about some laws.
If the Democrats manage to keep the Senate and the House of Representatives, they are likely to restart negotiations on some of the items on the agenda that Biden never approved, including his new package of social and economic plans that got stuck in between. divisions within the party.
Responsible editor: Li Yuan #
