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Prof. Ognyan Kunchev, mathematician from BAS
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What is happening now, I would compare it with what we had in March-April. Then we had enough infected and when we look at the number of dead people, it is the top. We have a very large peak of deaths from the unknown. It is a matter of concealing real data, “said the mathematician from the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Prof. Ognyan Kunchev, on the air of Bulgaria ON AIR.
He recalled that during this period there were about 15-16 thousand dead.
“And only some of them have been declared as COVID-19. From March last year to October we have 40,000 who have died. Of these, 23,700 have been declared to have died of coronavirus so far. And what have the rest died of? A part of they died of other diseases, did not go to the doctor, etc., but the other part? It is almost certain that they also died of Kovid 19. So the bill is a little different. Whenever a lockdown is introduced – it will still is on time “, added Prof. Kunchev.
According to him, the elections have a very unhealthy effect on the Bulgarian people.
“When a serious lockdown is made, the statistics go down. And if it wasn’t there, 17,000 more people would die. The ‘green certificate’ is also a form of weak lockdown. I don’t think we will have a decline because the measures are not being followed. People In public transport they go without masks. Are they considered eternal? More than 4-5 thousand patients are “produced” every day and they have symptoms. And without symptoms are at least about 15 thousand. In India, March was the same – Delta variant, pre-election fights, big meetings, sports events and then it was an exceptional boom. They had a huge mortality rate, they did not have enough oxygen “, the mathematician emphasized.
According to him, up to 6,000 people can be infected per day. Oxygen in hospitals in Bulgaria is also at a critical level. And hospitals say they have never used so much oxygen.
“This must be subject to jurisdiction. In countries like Germany and England, you can easily be convicted. It’s like 1,000 years ago – Bogomilism, timelessness, statelessness, but in the end the people suffer. And if we have a number of officially registered by Kovid -19 let’s multiply it by 5. If we have about 5-6 thousand cases today – multiply it by 3, you will get 18,000 infected per day, which is quite normal.China published a full study and found that 80% of all who became infected did not know at all “, added Prof. Ognyan Kunchev.
He believes that because of the Delta variant, resuscitation is twice as common.
“There is also a strong anti-vaccination movement in Germany, there have been many demonstrations, but in the end there are over 60% vaccinated. We did not have any demonstrations, but the people are not immune. These people who are infected today will die after 20 “30 days. So don’t think that you will put a lockdown and they will stop dying. And after the elections we will have black statistics”, the expert is categorical.
According to his calculations, there will be an average of 170 deaths per day.
“Of the number of people who are currently ill, we have 8,000 in hospital. We have 700 people who are in intensive care. We have over 100,000 who are active cases. Others are still wondering whether to be treated, how to I got rid of the virus after vaccination, I got over it relatively slightly, “said the mathematician from the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences.
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