November 10, 2021
07:42
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At higher activity “We continue the changeKiril Petkov and Asen Vassilev presented their political project “We continue the change”“Are second. At lower – BSP. This is very important, because the second term will be implemented by a government. One is the situation if Cornelia Ninova leads the negotiations, another if Kiril Petkov conducts them. This was stated to Nova by the political scientist Dimitar Ganev on the occasion of the latest Trend study *.
PPs have a greater opportunity to mobilize the electoral periphery. “BSP, having a firmer electorate, more mobilized, with a lower activity will have a higher relative weight,” he said.
GERB-UDF and MRF will get about 90 seats, all others are ready to form a coalition. Without the support of the BSP, there will be no stable government of the majority, Petkov added.
Kingmaker’s position in the next parliament will be on “We continue the changeKiril Petkov and Asen Vassilev presented their political project “We continue the change”“, Said the political scientist.
45-47% is the expected activity, according to Trend.
There is a high probability of a runoff between Rumen Radev and Prof. Anastas Gerdjikov. Radev leads in the pre-election picture, but the probability that Gerdjikov will beat him is small.
* Data from a Trend survey commissioned by the 24 Chasa newspaper, dedicated to the attitudes of Bulgarians towards the upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections. The survey was conducted between 1 and 7 November 2021 through a direct semi-standardized face-to-face interview via tablet among 1,013 people aged 18+.