The survey does not show possible election results. This is the so-called electoral potential, which in possible votes for one party also includes people who hesitate between the election of several parties. Pirates and the ODS have the greatest electoral potential after YES in most regions. YES won the largest share of votes in the last regional elections. The CSSD, which was second four years ago, now lags significantly behind YES.
–
The strongest is YES in the Moravian-Silesian Region
YES in the previous regional elections in 2016 received a total of about 21 percent of the vote in the whole Czech Republic. According to the survey, around 30 percent of voters who want to go to the polls in October are currently considering voting for YES in most regions. YES has the greatest voting potential in the Moravian-Silesian Region, over 40 percent. Also in the last elections, the movement had the best result in the Moravian-Silesian Region, where almost 26 percent of voters voted at the time.
–
Pirates took second place in YES in most regions due to the size of their voting potential. At the same time, in the last regional elections, the Pirates alone won only over one percent of the vote, and they had a similar result in the regions where they ran in conjunction with the Greens. However, the Pirate Party did not gain more attention until a year after the last regional elections, when in 2017 it reached third place in the parliamentary elections for YES and the ODS.
–
It is the ODS that now has strong potential in regional elections, although mostly in third place behind the Pirates. In several regions, the ODS, unlike the Pirates, does not go to the polls alone, but in a coalition or with the support of other parties.
–
YES, however, has a significant advantage over Pirates and the ODS in terms of voting potential. In the vast majority of regions, the YES potential is ten or more percentage points higher than the potential of the other party in the ranking.
–
Compared to the previous regional elections, the survey shows that the Social Democrats are probably significantly worse off. In 2016, the CSSD won a total of over 15 percent of the vote, and in most regions its result ranged from ten to 20 percent. In the current survey, however, in only about half of the regions is the electoral potential of the CSSD ten or more percent.
–
The Communists also lag behind their past results. In 2016, the KSČM joined local councils in all regions. However, in the survey, the electoral potential of the Communists has not reached five percent in three regions, which is the limit of votes required to win parliamentary seats. The People’s Party, on the other hand, is losing ground in its traditional stronghold – the Zlín Region. Last time, they won about 23 percent of the vote, but currently they have the voting potential of 17.5 percent of the vote in the Zlín Region.
–
On the contrary, the Freedom and Direct Democracy movement can theoretically improve. In the last regional elections, the SPD did not reach the councils of three regions, and in several others it was just over five percent of the vote. At present, however, the SPD has an electoral potential of over five percent in all regions, and even around ten percent in five regions.
–
The survey was conducted by the Kantar CZ and Data Collect agencies from August 10 to September 3. A total of 15,600 people took part, ie 1,200 in each region.
—
:quality(80)/cdn-kiosk-api.telegraaf.nl/bc77731c-f06e-11ea-9088-0255c322e81b.jpg?resize=150%2C150&ssl=1)