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Juggling data in endgame to Flemish climate deal

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On Wednesday, the Flemish government again failed to reach an agreement on additional climate efforts. The mandatory electrification of the vehicle fleet and the measures in agriculture are particularly worrisome.

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Time is gradually running out for the Flemish government. On Wednesday, she again failed to reach an agreement on climate efforts to further limit CO2 emissions by 2030. Talks will resume on Thursday morning. If there is no agreement by the weekend, Energy Minister Zuhal Demir (N-VA) will not fly to Glasgow, where the 26th international climate summit takes place.

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In recent days, it has rained – mainly liberal – proposals to reduce CO2 emissions. The most striking is the mandatory electrification of the vehicle fleet. That came from Minister of Mobility Lydia Peeters (Open VLD). Anyone buying a new car would only have the choice between electric models from 2027. Diesel, petrol and hybrid cars are banned. From 2030, the second-hand market should follow.

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The essence

  • The Flemish government did not reach an agreement on Wednesday on new climate efforts by 2030.
  • Negotiations will continue on Thursday, in the hope that Energy Minister Zuhal Demir (N-VA) can go to the international climate summit in Glasgow with an agreement.
  • The main bottlenecks are agriculture and the electrification of the vehicle fleet.
  • Open VLD wants only electric cars to be registered by 2027, but that will come too soon for the coalition partners.
  • Negotiations are also ongoing regarding the introduction date for the gas ban in new buildings.

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Peeters’ proposal is the main bottleneck during the negotiations. The N-VA and CD&V agree with the principle, but find such a rapid implementation practically unfeasible. ‘Europe imposes 2035. We would now bring that forward to 2027 while we still have a lot of work to do in expanding the charging station network?’, says an N-VA member. However, the liberals are firmly convinced that there will be sufficient charging stations by 2027 and that electric cars will be as expensive or even cheaper than cars with a combustion engine.

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The proposal from Minister of Mobility Peeters to quickly electrify the vehicle fleet is the main bottleneck.

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Scrolling with data

The dates proposed by Peeters will probably be pushed back. It is estimated that 2030 will come quickly, especially for the second-hand market. In that case, a lot more new electric cars will have to be sold in the coming years, which owners will then resell second-hand.

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The timing for the introduction of a gas ban in new-build homes may also be subject to tinkering. Deputy Prime Minister Bart Somers (Open VLD) came up with the proposal to open gas connections in new buildings to be banned in 2023. His coalition partners are not against it, but they believe that 2023 will come too early.

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The reasoning is that the shift from electricity to gas must first be well and truly in place. The Flemish government wants to increase the levies on the gas bill and thereby relieve the electricity bill. For example, the installation of a heat pump will become a lot more attractive, in favor of gas heating. On Wednesday, 2027 circulated as the time for the gas ban to come into effect.

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Quid farming?

Another tricky knot is the question of how much effort agriculture should make. This accounts for an equivalent of 10 percent of CO2 emissions. In its advice, the Flemish Climate Panel aimed for a substantial reduction in livestock, but that is difficult for Minister of Agriculture Hilde Crevits (CD&V) to digest. CD&V would rather not go through the sector with a blunt axe. ‘The size of the Flemish livestock must in the first place be the result of the individual choices that farmers make’, writes CD&V in its climate plan. Rather, the party is looking for solutions through innovation to reduce CO2 emissions in the sector.

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The N-VA ministers are frustrated that CD&V comes up with few proposals for agriculture, while a lot of proposals are on the table for the other sectors – industry, housing and mobility. But CD&V points out that agriculture will have to make considerable efforts in the nitrogen discussion, which will be settled this autumn. These measures will also lead to a reduction in CO2 emissions.

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renovation

There is broad consensus about the renovation obligation for homes with an EPC label E or F. Homes that are purchased will have to be renovated until they have the economy label D. The obligation will probably come into effect in 2023, although that date has yet to be definitively knocked off.

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A new economy requirement is also being put on the table for the rental of homes. Renting out would only be possible if the house has at least the EPC label. Demir also wants to make an effort to make Flemish and local government buildings more efficient. The current ambition is for these to emit 40 percent less CO2 by 2030. That would be increased to 55 percent.

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