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Israeli Military’s Dilemma: Diplomacy vs War with Hezbollah

The Israeli newspaper “Jerusalem Post” revealed that the Israeli military establishment may be immersed in studying a completely different approach to dealing with the Lebanese Hezbollah.

She said that the main dilemma in dealing with and resolving Hezbollah depends on whether Israel is able to convince the Lebanese armed organization to withdraw most of its forces to the Litani River through diplomatic channels, or whether it requires waging a comprehensive war to achieve this goal.

How much time will Israel give diplomacy?

But the question that then arises is: How much time will Israel give diplomacy before it launches a war against Hezbollah? The Israeli newspaper responds that evidence indicates that a major operation may take at least months.

However, the newspaper adds, in a report by its military correspondent, Jonah Jeremy Pope, that the war would prolong the stay of tens of thousands of residents of northern Israel, for an indefinite period, away from their homes from which the military authorities evacuated them after the attack of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) on the 7th. From October 2023.

But how can the residents of northern Israel return to their homes?

The Jerusalem Post says that it has learned that arranging the return of the residents of the north includes critical elements, including maintaining two full military divisions on the northern border indefinitely, the Israeli army continuing its attacks on Hezbollah forces south of the Litani, and reaching an agreement with Hezbollah that places, at least An end to the firing of rockets and anti-tank shells.

In addition to this, we will move forward with diplomatic talks in order to establish a permanent ceasefire, in addition to providing huge economic incentives to the population to compensate for their losses and encourage them to return to their homes.

The newspaper explains that what leads it to believe that senior officials in the military establishment may not be willing to fight a full war with Hezbollah, even within half a year, is that the war in Gaza will not have ended by then.

Although the Gaza war requires great attention from Israel, there is also a need for the support of the United States, the European Union and Arab countries to achieve stability in the Gaza Strip in the future, according to the newspaper’s correspondent’s report.

Perhaps starting a war with Hezbollah before the Gaza operation is completed could push the Lebanese organization to launch a “devastating counter-strike” that would undermine the allies’ support for the post-Gaza war phase.

2024-01-29 14:52:29
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