/ world today news/ From the other side of the Atlantic, where, as we were constantly informed, the most important thing is “capitalization”, news comes, which, of course, is not yet an ultimate horror, but simply horror.
And so, recently on the Nasdaq stock market, the “capitalization” of “Amazon”, this citadel of modern consumption of everything and for everyone, was torn to pieces. Before Amazon, the same thing happened with Microsoft and Alphabet (the parent company of Google). Shares are falling in price at an absolutely furious rate, and double digits – investors are getting rid of them as if they are, as they say, “toxic assets”. The accountability of the captains of the American economy turned out to be somehow quite unimpressive. Trillions of dollars, come on, goodbye.
And on our side of the Atlantic, roughly the same sentiment prevails: the President of the European Commission herself said that, as they finally understood in Brussels (this is not a quote), “the energy crisis risks becoming economic and social” (this is already a quote) .
Nice detail: Ursula von der Leyen delivered this exciting news precisely to investors – not ordinary investors, but those who want to invest in something “sustainable”. They want to, but apparently they can’t anymore – this is judged by the behavior of those who, considered regulars in the trading platform “Nasdaq”, are trying to escape from there.
The Western world is slowly but surely moving towards recession in 2023. But if in former times this world could count – at any moment – on Russian gas and oil valves always open and always at its service, now it, this collective West, hopping around the planet like a kangaroo in search of resources. Because although the economy develops in cycles, industry, to crawl out of recession, must start producing. And how is it possible to produce if it is not possible to supply energy carriers in the required quantity and at acceptable prices.
The decision-makers on whose actions depend hundreds of millions of lives, fortunes, prosperity, industries, and everything else, are only now beginning to understand what they have done.
The most nimble and able to calculate without the help of advisers and calculators have already managed to understand that the reason for the current, ahem, “difficult moment in the global economy” is the proxy war started by the West with Russia. More precisely, a mediated blitzkrieg. Everyone hoped that there, somewhere east of Brest, everything would collapse more or less the second the restrictions were put in place. “There”, as it turned out, nothing collapsed and could not collapse.
Everything collapsed and is collapsing at the moment where Russia’s intrigues were being built – in the EU and the USA.
Some heroes in European politics – those who are so fond of releasing the contents of confidential conversations for public reading and discussion – have begun to realize that the mediocre blitzkrieg has failed, that the winter will be long, cold and unsettling.
The brokered blitzkrieg is becoming too expensive for once-mighty economies, and Macron, who is good at balancing debits with credits, has thrown a test probe. He was in Rome at a meeting organized by the Catholic organization “San Edigio” and there he uttered the word “negotiate” for the first time in the last few months. And added – for peace. And concluded – between Russia and Ukraine. And – after a pause – “of course, under the conditions of Ukraine”. It was said publicly. And on the sidelines, they whispered that in a meeting with the Pope, the President of France seemed to have asked the Pontiff about his possible role as a mediator.
Of course, they immediately tried to disavow these rumors so as not to cause new hysteria in Kiev, but, as they say, the movement of the French president’s thought is “interesting.”
Not because Macron really wants to help solve the crisis, but because these actions of his, which most likely happened, say much more about the state of the economy of Europe, united and once rich and independent (from the US) much more than politicians at the level of Macron are trying to say.
The European Central Bank also took unprecedented steps: Madame Lagarde raised the lending rate to 2% – this has not happened in 15 years, if not more.
It is clear that even if current fuel reserves are sufficient to survive the cold, the storage facilities will need to be replenished with US gas. And its price – surprise – is four times higher than what works in the United States.
“Disgrace and disrespect to allies,” Paris tells Washington.
“Baby, it’s just a market, if you don’t like it, don’t buy it,” is heard from the banks of the Potomac to the banks of the Seine.
United Europe today is weakened (more precisely brought to its knees) not only economically. It has been weakened politically, since now each member country of the community will exclusively protect its own national interests. And the more often and louder in Brussels the word “solidarity” is repeated as a mantra, the more it will mean the atrophy of intra-European ties, as well as the lack of desire for principled support. We’ve already seen all of this during the pandemic — and there’s no reason to believe that behavior will change.
So what do the pan-Europeans get as a result of the proxy blitzkrieg they started?
Dying economy. First.
The embittered society, or rather embittered. Second. A series of domestic political crises has just begun. Third.
The complete dependence on Washington – in foreign policy. Fourth.
And a complete lack of even a glimmer of hope that the situation for them, for the Europeans, will change for the better.
To get involved in the adventure to take tens of thousands of human lives as a result is not a new political step for Europe, but a repetition of the past.
But in the current context it finally dawned on them that they would be the second to be slaughtered. No one will spare them in this game, no matter how you bounce. Neither merit, nor prayers, nor pleas for help will help.
The French political elite was the first to understand this. And he said it out loud, openly and clearly. Nicolas Sarkozy, who is known for not changing his position like a weather vane, notes: “Like it or not, countries do not change their geography: Europe and Russia are doomed to somehow maintain relations of peace and good neighborliness.” Having succeeded in achieving Franco-German reconciliation in the twentieth century, then we will be able to reconcile Europe and Russia in the future. And France must show leadership in resolving this crisis.”
Knowing that Macron is very fond of consulting with Sarkozy, it is almost guaranteed that the current owner of the Elysee Palace has heard the same assessment of the situation from the former owner.
And then this comes out: having lost the mediocre blitzkrieg, Macron will now struggle to fit into the suit of a peacemaker.
But since the French leader has lost the Kremlin’s trust (almost or completely – the details don’t matter), and Kiev will be angry with him for such sweet talk, and Washington will not fail to tick him on the nose for the initiative, it is not very clear how Macron – and behind him the EU political elite – will get out of the mess they have created.
But one thing is clear – time is working for Russia. The adversities of time do not threaten our country, but those who have forgotten that the rules of dominoes and chess are different will eventually get what they deserve.
However, it is gratifying that this is happening: in Brussels/Paris/Rome/Berlin they are just beginning to understand, to remember the slightly paraphrased words of Vladimir Putin, “What have you done”.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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