The elections for President and Vice President of the Republic of Bulgaria on November 14, 2021 are over. After them, one thing is clear – a runoff is coming up.
Incumbent President Rumen Radev and Prof. Anastas Gerdjikov will face off in a second round next Sunday, November 21st.
The results of the parallel counts conducted by the sociological agencies show that Radev in the first round received just under or just over 50% of the vote. Gerdjikov has a twice lower result. Third is MRF candidate Mustafa Karadayi with about 10 per cent.
But why, even if the official results of the CEC, which are expected in the coming days, show that the current president collects over 50% of the vote, will we still go to the runoff? Because there are two requirements in the Constitution – first, that the candidate has received more than half of the actual votes, and second, that more than half of the voters took part in the voting.
As turnout on November 14 was at a record low, the second condition was not met and required a second round.
Webcafe.bg tracked for you the results of the exit poll and the parallel censuses of the sociological agencies, as well as the first reactions of the candidates. Here is what happened the night after the presidential vote:
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23:47 h. Results from 100% parallel counting gave from “Market Links”, with which the results of the sociological agencies are now final and we can expect official data from the CEC. Here is what the parallel census of “Market Links” shows:
- Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 49%
- Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 24.3%
- Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 10.4%
- Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 4%
- Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 3.9%
- Luna Yordanova and Iglena Ilieva – 0.7%
- Volen Siderov – 0.5%
23:29 h. Alpha Research presented its data to 100% of the parallel count. Here are the results of the candidates according to him:
- Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 50.1%
- Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 23.8%
- Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9.6%
- Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 4.1%
- Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 3.5%
- Volen Siderov – 0.8%
And here are the results of 100% parallel counting of Gallup International:
- Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 50%
- Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 24%
- Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9.1%
- Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 4.1%
- Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 3.5%
- Luna Yordanova and Iglena Ilieva – 0.9%
“Trend” indicates the following results in 100% parallel counting:
- Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 51.1%
- Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 23.1%
- Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9%
- Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 3.8%
- Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 3.5%
- Luna Yordanova and Iglena Ilieva – 1.2%
23.00 h. Trend Research Center derived its data from 93% of the parallel census:
- Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 49.8%
- Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva -21.9%
- Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 10.0%
- Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 5%
- Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 3.6%
- Luna Yordanova and Iglena Ilieva – 1%
22.58 h. The parallel count of “Alpha Risk” (85.5%) shows the following order:
- Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 50.1%
- Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva -23.9%
- Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9.0%
- Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 4.3%
- Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 3.9%
- Luna Yordanova and Iglena Ilieva – 0.8%
- Others – 2.2%
- I do not support anyone – 2%
22:45 h. Gallup International data at 96% of the parallel count show:
- Rumen Radev – 49.8%
- Anastas Gedzhikov – 23.9%
- Mustafa Karadayi – 9.4%
- Kostadin Kostadinov – 4.2%
- Lausanne Panov – 3.5%
- Luna Yordanova – 0.9%
- Others – 4.4%
- I do not support anyone – 2.4%
21:53 h. “Market Links” publishes data at 70% of its parallel census, and here Rumen Radev is already over 50%:
- Rumen Radev – 51%
- Anastas Gedzhikov – 23.8%
- Mustafa Karadayi – 8.9%
- Kostadin Kostadin – 4.1%
- Lausanne Panov 3%
21:38 h. President and candidate for a second term Rumen Radev said it was too early to say that the presidential election was scheduled.
According to him, the results of the exit poll of the sociological agencies, which gave him about 50 percent in the first round, give optimism, but in the upcoming runoff on November 21, he and Iliana Yotova will face the “party-organized vote of the status quo cartel.”
He also expressed readiness to hold a debate with Prof. Anastas Gerdjikov, with whom he is scheduled to meet next Sunday in the second round.
Read all of Rumen Radev’s comments here:
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21:10 h. Prof. Anastas Gerdjikov commented that his main goal has been achieved – to have a runoff.
The independent presidential candidate, backed by GERB, said in his first comment after the election that there was progress in bridging the gap between him and Rumen Radev at the start of the campaign. He said that according to the exit polls, the difference is about 24% and expressed confidence that he will “melt them too” next week until the runoff.
If the exit polls of the sociological agencies are confirmed, Gerdjikov is second in the race after the current president and the two will face off in a second round on November 21st.
Gerdjikov also commented that according to data he saw, “10-15%” of “other parties” also voted for him.
See more of his speech here:
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20:40 h. First comments after the presidential vote. Hristo Ivanov from “Democratic Bulgaria” commented that an assessment of the performance of the independent candidate Lozan Panov, supported by the formation, will have to be made by the initiative committee, which was nominated by Panov.
When asked who will support “Democratic Bulgaria” in the second round, Ivanov said that this will still be decided by the collective bodies of the political force. According to the preliminary results of the exit poll, Rumen Radev and Anastas Gerdjikov are going to the runoff.
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20:01 h. Here are the first exit poll results:
Exit poll result of “Alpha Research”:
1. Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 49.1%
2. Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 26.5%
3. Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9.8%
4. Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 4.6%
5. Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 3.4%
Gallup International exit poll at 20:00:
1. Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 49.4%
2. Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 24.9%
3. Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 8.9%
4. Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 4.2%
5. Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 3.8%
Exit poll on “Market links”:
1. Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 49.48%
2. Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 23.03%
3. Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9.04%
4. Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 5.06%
5. Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 4.54%
Trend exit poll:
1. Rumen Radev and Iliana Yotova – 48.9%
2. Anastas Gerdjikov and Nevyana Miteva – 24.6%
3. Mustafa Karaday and Iskra Mihailova – 9.2%
4. Lozan Panov and Maria Kasimova-Moase – 5.2%
5. Kostadin Kostadinov and Elena Guncheva – 3.7%
6. Luna Yordanova and Iglena Ilieva – 1.2%
Here you can follow the results of the parliamentary vote:
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About the presidential election:
According to the Central Election Commission (CEC), 6,708,189 people have the right to vote in these elections.
23 presidential candidate couples are running in this year’s elections. 9 of them are independent, ie. their nominations are not raised by parties, but by initiative committees. It should be borne in mind, however, that all but one of the parties in the last parliament did not nominate their own candidates, but supported independent ones.
The President of the country has a 5-year term.
The current head of state Rumen Radev is a candidate for a second term. He won the 2016 elections in the second round against GERB candidate Tsetska Tsacheva.
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