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Russian troop gathering on Ukrainian border is more serious than a show of force – the Guardian

The publication writes that Western analysts are concerned about the scale of the process against the backdrop of growing tensions between Moscow and Washington.

The publication quoted a senior analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Nigel Gould-Davis, who expressed concern about the accumulation of Russian troops near the border with Ukraine.

According to him, experts note: this is more serious than just a show of force. They do not exclude “any development of events.”

The Guardian stressed that the Russian Federation does not deny the rotation of the troops.

Context:

  • In 2014, immediately after the annexation of Crimea, Russia launched an armed aggression in eastern Ukraine. The fighting is between the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the one hand and the Russian army and Russian-backed militants who control parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions on the other. Officially, the Russian Federation does not recognize its invasion of Ukraine, despite the facts and evidence presented by Ukraine.
  • July 22, 2020 Trilateral Contact Group agreed the regime a complete and comprehensive ceasefire in the Donbas since midnight on 27 July. At the beginning of 2021, the situation in Donbass worsened. The Joint Forces operation headquarters has repeatedly reported that the enemy is firing sniper fire. In February, the first president of Ukraine, the head of the Ukrainian delegation to the trilateral contact group on the settlement of the conflict in Donbass, Leonid Kravchuk, said, what “there is simply no truce “.
  • On April 1, the Office of the President of Ukraine reported that from the beginning of 2021 the Russian occupation troops in the Donbas violated the ceasefire more than 570 times… President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on April 6 that since the beginning of the July truce in Donbass killed 28 Ukrainian soldiers, of which 23 – from the beginning of the current year.
  • In late March – early April, the media and eyewitnesses began to publish video evidence that Russia was actively transfers military equipment to Crimea across the Kerch Bridge and pulls troops to the border with Ukraine (according to American officials, the Russian Federation could transfer to the border about 4 thousand servicemen).
  • On March 30, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Ruslan Khomchak confirmed that the Russian Federation builds up troops near the border with Ukraine and in the occupied Crimea, which “poses a threat to the military security of the state.” Ukrainian intelligence said that Russia wants to expand military presence on the territory controlled by the “DPR” and “LPR” militants through the introduction of regular units of the armed forces of the Russian Federation, and did not rule out an attempt to move Russian troops deep into the territory of Ukraine.

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