It has been over two months since Russia invaded Ukraine.
Since then, there have been almost constant battles between Russian and Ukrainian forces – battles that have claimed thousands of lives, forced millions of people to flee and led to enormous destruction.
But Russian President Vladimir Putin – who ordered the invasion of the neighboring country – apparently knows little about what is really going on on the battlefield, we must believe military expert Pavel Luzin.
sea view
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Attack inhibitors
At the end of March, Russia announced a change of line in the Russian strategy, which indicates that the war has not gone as planned.
It may be related to the fact that Putin has problems monitoring his own war, the military expert believes.
– It’s a huge hierarchy. When a low-ranking analyst writes a report on what is really happening, it goes through ten leaders and when it reaches the top it says that everything is going very well. That’s how the system works, he says Financial Times and adds:
– Real danger of World War III
– Putin’s view of the situation on the ground seems distorted by inaccurate field briefings and state television reports.
Luzin believes that this could affect the war in the sense that the Russian offensive will be slower when the right information is not communicated to the country’s leaders.
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– Need a break
Experts have recently been speculating about Putin plans to declare victory as early as May 9. This is a big holiday in Russia, where the people celebrate the victory over Nazi Germany in World War II.
– When he, May 9, will speak to the nation, he will show that he has followed up on the promises he has given these republics, and spin a story instead of admitting that he has mostly done miserable in Ukraine. A ninth May celebration without having achieved anything will be difficult, says Lieutenant General Arne Bård Dalhaug previously told Dagbladet.
– A public blunder for Russia
According to the Financial Times, however, there are several indications that the war will be protracted, including several failed peace talks and little willingness to compromise. In addition, the big Russian victories have been missed.
Military expert Luzin believes that Russia needs a break.
They (Russia, journ.anm.) Need a break to find out what they have left. They do not know how many soldiers they have left or the extent of their own losses. They also have no control over how much equipment they have left or in what condition it is in, he tells the newspaper.
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