A clear paradigm shift has taken place in Switzerland in recent years. The upcoming duel would have been a clear case some time ago. This could now repeat itself again, albeit with a different sign. Because when you look at the duel between Lugano and Basel, the betting odds go in a clear direction.
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On paper, both clubs have roughly the same resources. The former series champion is now only a shadow of his former self and the hosts are joining other clubs in the big vacuum behind the Young Boys. So it’s no wonder that the starting position seems quite clear.
Lugano – FC Basel odds | 3 top tips
Betting odds as of March 31, 2024, 9:20 p.m
However, a look at the most recent results shows the gap more than clearly. After the last five appearances, the score is 15:5. FCB stays just above the ominous line, while the hosts want to defend third place. The offensive appearance of the hosts also fits in with this and can be turned into money at Bet3000 including a new customer bonus.
Lugano – Statistics & current form
Lugano stands for entertainment. The hosts, along with Winterthur, have the best chance of successfully getting a goal bet through. There are more than enough reasons for this.
Lugano and Basel force tips on goals
The FC has a pronounced forward movement. They have already scored 54 goals in the 29 rounds so far. This is the absolute top value in the Swiss country behind the current series champion from Bern (56).
No wonder, the coach prefers to line up in an offensive variant of 4-3-3 or 3-4-3. Success proves him right and players can’t complain about not having enough chances to win bonuses. Zan Celar is the undisputed leader (12 goals + 2 assists). He is the main recipient of all balls that sail over the flanks into the middle.
If he is prevented, he usually lays off, which gives the attacking midfield chances. There are several buyers here with Uran Bislimi (5+6), Mohammed Belhaj Mahmoud (5+0) and Yanis Cimignai (3+2). Lugano attacks in waves and they are known to break every barrier at some point.
Too much focus on the attack makes the backcourt swim a bit
What is also at the forefront of many predictions for Lugano against Basel is the porous back line. What keeps Lugano away from the top – and it is currently eight points away – is precisely this problem.
With a whopping 42 impacts, they are only slightly better than today’s opponent with his 47. The top teams from Bern (27) and Geneva (33) can only be seen with binoculars. Due to the focus on the offensive, they repeatedly catch counterattacks. As is well known, these lead to easier shots, better odds and, above all, more frequent fouls.
This combination can of course become a problem, especially against teams with a nominally better squad. Although Basel is clearly chasing the music, even they have already proven that they can score if asked for too long.
Lugano’s expected line-up:
Saipi – Mai, Hajrizi, Hajdari – Cimignani, Bislimi, Grgic, Marques – Steffen, Celar, Aliseda
Injured and suspended Lugano players:
Last games of Lugano:
FC Basel – Statistics & current form
The former series champion walks with a cane. Similar to the competition from Zurich in the past, they are flirting relatively aggressively with relegation. A gaping hole in the backcourt is to blame.
Goals conceded constantly, the further from home the worse
The proud FCB has already conceded an impressive 47 goals this season. This puts them in tenth place, as in the overall table. Only Lausanne (59) and Yverdon (56), who have fallen behind, are doing even worse.
Unsurprisingly, there are no real strengths with such values. It’s more about what doesn’t work well at all. As with the opponent, counterattacks are a major construction site. However, since the current squad keeps losing the ball, it will of course be disproportionately more difficult for the back team. But you notice a certain homesickness.
If they have conceded 19 goals in their previous 15 appearances, it looks horrendous on the road with 28 in 14 rounds. Anyone who swallows more than one goal per game per guest appearance cannot hope for many points in the end. This is exactly what the odds show quite clearly for Lugano vs. Basel.
The storm hits constantly but not enough
As if that barn door wasn’t bad enough, along comes a mild storm. It is probably this combination that shifts the forecasts for Lugano and Basel in a clear direction.
In the 29 rounds so far, the red-blues have 36 hits. An optimist now sees an average of more than 1.0 per game. Judging by the fact that even Lausanne managed this with its 31 goals, the strength is put into perspective again. Despite the (actually) compact 4-2-3-1, neither protection nor attack fits.
It is possible to dream of an impact here, especially in combination with the defensive carelessness of the guests. However, the values for the guests should not be set too high. The “top striker” Thierno Barry (5+3) adapts to the rest of the level. He always scores, but you shouldn’t bet on it.
FC Basel’s expected line-up:
Hitz – Schmid, Veiga, Frei, Rüegg – Xhaka – Kololli, Kacuri, Avdullahu, Kade – Barry
Injured and suspended FC Basel players:
Last games of FC Basel:
Our Lugano – FC Basel tip in the odds comparison April 2nd, 2024 – 1/X/2
Betting odds as of April 1, 2024, 10:20
Lugano – FC Basel Direct comparison / H2H balance
The direct duel comes in the classic 4 (Lugano) – 4 (Basel) – 2 (draw). With 12:14 goals there is always something to offer. In fact, until the last millennium there was no game without an impact on at least one side. With a view to the here and now, the odds on goals at Lugano and Basel can definitely be studied.
Statistics highlights for Lugano against FC Basel
Betting base forecast & Lugano – FC Basel tip
The duel seems relatively clear. Although the guest has the bigger name, this consideration comes from the past. In the here and now, Lugano looks like the clear favorite for three important points in the fight for the top spots. Basel, on the other hand, must try to take the coals out of the fire in the relegation group.
Key-Facts – Lugano vs. FC Basel Tipp
- Lugano has already scored 54 times
- Basel conceded 28 goals in 14 away games
- The direct duels have not yet resulted in a 0-0 draw this millennium
When you look at the most recent appearances and the season so far, Lugano against Basel seems like tip 1. The previous form, the most recent results and also the strengths and weaknesses fit the picture quite clearly.
You can also take a look at the bets on goals at AdmiralBet here. Information about registration can be found here. For the game, it should be said that there is reasonable suspicion that there will be no clean slate when the final whistle blows.
Lugano vs. FC Basel – beste Quoten Super League
Sieg Lugano: 2.05 @Interwetten
Draw: 3.60 @Bwin
Sieg FC Basel: 3.50 @Bet365
Odds probabilities for win Lugano / draw / win FC Basel:
Lugano – FC Basel – betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals: 1.75 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 2.05 @Bet365
Both teams score
JA: 1.61 @Bet365
NO: 2.20 @Bet365
Betting odds as of March 31, 2024, 9:20 p.m
2024-04-01 07:12:31
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