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Lebanese Presidential Election 2024: Local Forces Launch Initiative for Moving the Presidential File

Before the 2023 calendar closed on a series of events, local forces took the initiative to launch positions on moving the presidential file in the new year, without setting precise dates for this process or the effort being adopted for this purpose.

What Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri said or what was reported from him about consultations that will extend in the year 2024 is awaiting translation, and this may take some time. However, the Speaker of Parliament will work on an appropriate formula for these consultations that do not take on an expanded nature similar to the dialogue table.

It is expected that his efforts will crystallize after the New Year holiday, and regardless of the failure or success of the new attempt to move the presidential file, the available data speak of a cautious approach by some parties towards any presidential initiative, especially since previous experiences are not encouraging, and there are forces that are not Willing to waste time in consultations or discussions, while the main approach to electing the country’s president is through open election sessions in accordance with what the constitution stipulates.

It seems that the Council President is convinced that the internal game has become more than necessary in order to settle the entitlement and not wait for the outside world, which is busy with the events of the Gaza war.

In this field, they are considered knowledgeable political sources for“Lebanon 24” There are those who are overly optimistic that this entitlement will be accomplished in the first months of the new year, while many have set a date for next February, when the Gaza scene will clear up. However, relying here on this date is inaccurate unless external action is launched in parallel with local pressure. Behind him stand the opposition forces that show their commitment to electing a sovereign president more than ever before who will work to implement international resolutions, and they consider that any external activity related to the presidency cannot be predicted to cause any breach, especially if the local parties do not show a desire to seize any initiative.

Here, it is necessary to wait for the visits of a number of delegates, noting that when this is completed, the President of the Council will start his engines after deliberately testing the pulse on his proposal to hold consultations in this context.

The sources believe that Berri did not use the phrase “dialogue” and replaced it with “consultations” due to his certainty that there is no rejection or impediment to them because they are merely consultations and do not necessarily produce a result that favors this or that team.

As for the opposition, any proposal or proposal that these forces discuss is useful, even if they previously expressed their opinion in this area and called for the adoption of the principle of open sessions. In fact, some may consider that President Berri, after these forces’ advances, is a perpetuation of the extension of the army commander in the last legislative session. It may participate in any endeavor, even if it assumes the status of consultation, in a step that falls under the title of returning the debt to the Speaker of the Council, stressing that the issue is still at the beginning and Speaker Berri will work to detail his proposal and will have a series of contacts or meetings in order to reach common points, while his call Whether or not a new election session will take place is linked, at most, to these consultations.

On the other hand, the sources believe that talking now about a positive development in the presidential election is not logical, especially since the horizon is still unclear and estimates for continuing to fluctuate, unless the parliamentary options appear ready for a new negotiation bearing the title of the third candidate or a list of candidates.

The beginning of the year 2024 will not necessarily be a date with presidential good news, but it is certain that the quality of the movement will be subject to “fundamental modifications” to ensure achievement in this file as quickly as possible.

2024-01-01 10:00:34
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