What you should know
- Some rains are expected for Wednesday and more intense from Thursday until Friday. Some storms could be severe, carrying the risk of flash flooding and wind damage. Tornadoes would also be possible.
- Less than an inch of rain is expected along the coast and is likely 1 to 2 inches north and west of New York City. Flash flood watches are in effect for most of the metropolitan area Thursday through Friday.
- Higher elevation areas further west could see up to 3 inches. The system should come out on Friday afternoon, giving way to a glorious sunny stretch with temperatures in the mid-70s Celsius.
Spotty rains are expected for most of the day on Wednesday and into Thursday afternoon before a cold front approaches that could bring heavy rain and some severe storms as it approaches western New Jersey Thursday afternoon. evening.
The slow-moving front is not forecast to leave Long Island until Friday afternoon and brings with it threats of flash floods, lightning strikes and damaging winds along with heavy rain before it recedes. Isolated tornadoes are also possible.
The pace of the front is of particular concern. If you stop in the same area for an extended period, the risk of flooding will be high, especially in parts of the region that are still saturated by record rains from Henri and Ida a few weeks ago.
The heaviest band of rain appears to begin moving into the tri-state area around 9:00 pm Thursday and the system begins to circulate through the city and the Hudson Valley at 7:00 am Friday. The rain is likely to linger through the afternoon as the storms head east.
Ultimately, less than an inch of rain is expected along the coast and likely 1 to 2 inches north and west of New York City with locally higher amounts. Higher elevation areas further west could see up to 3 inches.
A flash flood watch was issued for all five New York City counties, along with Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester, Nassau and Sullivan counties in New York from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.
The same surveillance applies to Fairfield County in Connecticut and Middlesex, Hunterdon, Morris, Union, Warren, Bergen, Passaic, Hudson, and Sussex counties in New Jersey.
Conditions look calmer after Friday, with no rain in the forecast for all of next week.
In terms of temperature, Wednesday will look a lot like a summer day with temperatures between 70 and 80 degrees with higher humidity. Expect more of the same Thursday before that cold front sends temperatures below 70 degrees.
Clear skies in time for a beautiful mid-70s weekend and sunny skies.
Keep track of conditions with our interactive radar below.