Along with the Capital, in the red scenario there are also the counties: Timiş (5.84 ‰), Ilfov (5.35 ‰), Braşov (4.29 ‰), Cluj (3.93 ‰), Hunedoara (3.48 ‰) , Constanţa (3.19 ‰), Alba (3.10 ‰), Sălaj (3.01 ‰).
The first time Romania registered 6,481 new cases in 24 hours was on October 29, at the beginning of the second wave.
Current cases, more serious than those in wave 2
The former manager of the “Victor Babeş” Hospital in Bucharest, Dr. Emilian Imbri, draws attention to the fact that we have 6,000 new cases a day at the onset of wave 3 of the pandemic and – although Romania recorded in wave 2 and over 10,000 cases – now the hospitals are already full, because the cases are more serious.
“Yesterday alone we have 6,000 infections and yet there are no more beds in hospitals. Why? Because before there were easy cases that could stay at home. Now they are sick, they have positive tests, they continue to stay at home and stay until they realize that they are at a limit. Some achieve on time, others still do not achieve and reach one, two days beyond this sensitive limit and whoever tries to recover them makes great efforts “, said Dr. Emilian Imbri.
The doctor says that there are many infected people who spread the virus, either because they do not know or because they ignore the positive result. “I assure you that at the moment there are a lot of people who have a positive test and a lot of people who do not have the test, but are infected. I would ask everyone to send this message: at least those who know they are infected to sit still. In such a situation, the virus circulates with a mask and a certificate. The virus was disguised, it befriended some people who carried it there, there with a mask and a certificate “, the doctor also declared.
The Spanish flu had 4 waves
Dr. Cristian Oancea, the medical director of the “Victor Babeş” Infectious Diseases and Pneumoftiziology Hospital in Timişoara, believes that the only solution to get through the 3rd wave of the pandemic and to mitigate the impact of the next wave is vaccination.
“We do not learn anything from history: the Spanish flu had 4 waves. This wave 3 will last about 2-3, maximum 4 months. I have seen it in England and the Czech Republic: it is coming strong and it will go strong, depending on how many victims it will leave. We must continue with vaccination in force. We have seen 15 states that have given up vaccination with AstraZeneca, but take into account (no-count) the dozens of states that continue vaccination with AstraZeneca. If we follow our vaccination plan, we can have an fall in which we can slowly begin to regain our lives. If we continue with the vaccination in force, wave 4 will be slow ”is the opinion of Dr. Cristian Oancea
The Spanish flu virus has abated, but has not disappeared yet
SARS-CoV-2 could cause fewer casualties as it spreads further, according to historian John M. Barry, author of a paper on the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918. The American researcher analyzed how the transmission of the flu virus has evolved since then, compared to the spread of the new coronavirus.
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Keeping the proportions related to the peculiarities between the two pathogens – the H1N1 flu virus and the new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2 -, the historian’s conclusions show that, overall, Spanish flu mortality has faded with the widespread spread of the disease, but people have had to to continue living with the new threat. The author of “The Great Influenza” suggests that the same could happen with the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
The mutations that the 1918 influenza virus underwent in the spread process had two consequences. On the one hand, repeated changes at the micro-molecular level have prevented scientists since then from creating a vaccine against the Spanish flu, and on the other hand, these mutations have resulted in a significant decrease in the number of deaths.
The chief epidemiologist of the United States, Dr. Anthony Fauci, published in 2009 an article with two researchers specializing in the spread of influenza viruses in which they showed that the viral strain responsible in 1918 for the spread of Spanish flu created a “pandemic era” in the last century.
“All the pandemics that have taken place since then – in 1957 (no – H2N2, Asian flu), in 1968 (no – H3N2) and in 2009 (no – AH1N1 or swine flu) were generated by viruses derived from the one responsible for the flu “The flu virus that people get every year can be directly linked to the Spanish flu,” researcher Jeffery Taubenberger told the Washington Post.
Doctor: For what reason could the cases at ATI be doubled
Dr. Cristian Oancea, the medical director of the Infectious Diseases and Pneumoftiziology Hospital “Victor Babeş” in Timişoara, is of the opinion that the number of serious cases from ATI could double due to the lack of facilities in hospitals.
“An aspect that is not discussed: there are beds that require oxygen therapy with medium and high flow. If you do not provide these patients with medium or high flow oxygen, they will quickly go into severe forms and will quickly enter intensive care. So it is possible to have a doubling of the number of cases in intensive care compared to wave 2. At ATI we are talking in a first phase about that portable concentrator for mild to moderate forms. From moderate to severe forms, oxygen therapy is needed in medium and high flow storers. If hospitals do not have medium and high oxygen flow, these cases, due to the aggressiveness of the British strain we are facing now, become severe forms within 7-10 days and you have nowhere to take them until ATI “, said the doctor at Digi24.
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