Critical situation, with a doubling of cases in a week (from 52,960 to 100,446) and a rapid approach to scenario 4, “With the risk of health services in the short term”, also due to the feared exceeding of the critical threshold in intensive care in 15 regions. The weekly monitoring of the Higher Institute of Health, with data relating to the week of October 19-25, offers little points for optimism. To these numbers are added the daily ones, once again with a very negative trend. There is a record of people found positive, for the fourth consecutive day, with 31,084 new cases and 199 deaths (who the last bulletin). It is true that i tampons carried out reached the record number of 215,085, but that’s no consolation given that the rate of positivity also rises: 14 percent of those analyzed are infected. The most affected regions are Lombardy (+8.960), Campania (+3.186) and Veneto (+3.012). This is also why the government is thinking of agree with the Regions the lockdown of the metropolitan areas of Milan, Naples, Bologna, Turin and Rome.
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The schools
The acceleration of the contagion, experts report, produces a growing difficulty in finding data. For the president of the ISS, Silvio Brusaferro, the results of the measurements are seen after 15-20 days, therefore not earlier than a week. L‘school environment, he explains, represents 3.8% of all infections. The school, according to the president of the Higher Health Council, Franco Locatelli, «contributes marginally compared to other contexts. But there is everything that pertains to entry and exit, to transport and the formation of gatherings ».
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The regions at risk
Eleven regions are considered «a high risk of uncontrolled transmission ‘and 8 are classified as’ moderate risk with high probability of progressing to high risk in the next month’. The recommendation is that of one “Drastic reduction of sociability”, limiting travel from home and contacts to the bare minimum.
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Symptomatic increasing
The number of symptomatic cases has doubled: from 27,117 to 54,377. The RT calculated on symptomatic cases is equal to 1.70. Rt values higher than 1.25 are found in most Italian regions with values higher than 1.5 in several cases. Piedmont and Lombardy have exceeded the threshold 2 of the Rt and are at 2.16 and 2.09 respectively. The province of Bolzano and Valle d’Aosta are close to 2. In 10 other Italian regions, the RT has exceeded the threshold of 1.5. The number of cases detected by contact tracing decreases (19.2), that of cases detected by the appearance of symptoms rises (32.6). Eighty percent of cases do not adhere to any known transmission chain, confirming the growing difficulties in tracking.
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Terapie intensive
As for the state of the hospitals, “there is a high probability that 15 regions will exceed the critical thresholds of intensive care and / or medical areas in the next month”. The number of people in intensive care increased from 750 (October 18) to 1,208 (October 25); while the number of people hospitalized in medical areas increased, again in the same period, from 7,131 to 12,006. In some areas, for the first time, the critical occupancy threshold for beds in the medical area has been exceeded (40 percent),
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In the world
Global Covid-19 cases surpassed 45 million, an increase of nearly a million cases in two days, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The United States is the most affected country with a total of 8,945,891 cases and 228,668 deaths, followed by India, with 8,088,851 cases and 121,090 deaths. Brazil is the third country in terms of number of infections, but occupies the second place on the list in terms of deaths. Among the countries that have already exceeded one million infections are France (1.3 million), Spain (1.1), Argentina (1.1). By number of deaths, Mexico is the fourth most affected country with 90,773, followed by the United Kingdom with 46,045; Italy, with 38,122; France with 36,058 and Spain with 35,639
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31 October 2020 (change October 31, 2020 | 07:26)
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