Central Meteorological Observatory: There is still heavy rainfall in East Northwest China, West China and other places and Typhoon “Saddle” will hit my country’s southern waters

1. Heavy rains and local heavy rains occurred in some parts of Heilongjiang, Hebei, Shandong and other places In the South, the high temperatures continue

Heavy rains occurred during the day in parts of northeastern Heilongjiang, southeast Hebei, northern Shandong, southern Guangxi and southern Yunnan. There was heavy local rain on Mount Shuangya in Heilongjiang, Hengshui in Hebei , Dezhou and Zibo in Shandong and heavy rains in Ningjin, Dezhou, Shandong (109 mm).

High temperatures above 37 ° C have occurred in parts of the Sichuan Basin, southern Shaanxi, Jianghan, Jianghuai and Jiangnan, including eastern Sichuan, central and western Chongqing, southeastern Shaanxi, Hubei central and western and most of Zhejiang was 40 -43 ° C and Zhushan, Hubei. 43.1 ° C.

Second, the key weather forecast

1there is even more precipitation in the eastern part of the northwestern region, in northern China and in the western regions

From the night of 22-24, there will be moderate to heavy rainfall in eastern and northern Qinghai, central and southern Gansu, Ningxia, Hetao area in Inner Mongolia, central and northern Shaanxi, Shanxi, Southern Shandong, Northern Jiangsu and Anhui, Central and Eastern Heilongjiang, and Western and Southern Yunnan. Heavy rain or local heavy rain, some of the above mentioned areas will have heavy rainfall in the short term, hourly rainfall is 20-50mm, and the local area can reach more than 60mm; in addition, Eastern Qinghai, Western Henan, Western Hubei, Southern Zhejiang, Southern Fujian, Guangdong There will be local thunderstorms, strong winds or hail in places such as the east.

2typhoon “Saddle” will affect the waters of the south of my country

The center of typhoon No. 9 this year’s “Masa” (tropical storm level) is located in the northwestern Pacific Ocean about 325 kilometers northeast of Manila, Philippines, at 5pm today (10pm), which is 16.2 degrees north latitude and 123.5 degrees east longitude The maximum wind strength near the center is 8 (20 m / s), the lowest pressure in the center is 995 hPa, and the radius of the seventh level wind circle is 160-200 kilometers .

The “Sella” is expected to first move northwest at a speed of 10-15 kilometers per hour and move to the surface of the Northeast Sea of ​​the South China Sea early in the morning of the 24th, gradually approaching the coast of Guangdong, and its intensity will continue to increase. The strongest can reach the level of a strong tropical storm (level 10-11, 25-30 m / s), and will land on the aforementioned coast during the day on the 25th (23-28 m / s, level 9-10, tropical storm level or severe tropical storm level), the intensity after landfall gradually weakened.

Affected by it, it is expected that from 20:00 on the 22nd to 20:00 on the 23rd, there will be strong winds of magnitude 7-8 in the East Sea area and in the Bashi Strait in the northeast of the South China Sea Classes 10- 11.

image1 The future of typhoon “Saddle”96Hourly Path Probability Prediction Map (8moon22Day17Time-26day 17Time)

3the Sichuan Basin, Jianghan, Jiangnan and other places experienced high temperatures

In the next three days there will still be persistent high temperatures in the Sichuan Basin, Jianghan, Jiangnan and other places.The highest temperature in the above mentioned areas can reach 35-39 ° C and the local temperature can exceed 40 ° C.

It is estimated that during the day of August 23 there will be 35 deaths in the south-east of Gansu, in the south of Shaanxi, in the south of Anhui, in the south of Jiangsu, Shanghai, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Fujian, central Sichuan and east, Chongqing, east and north Guizhou, Guangdong and Guangxi. High temperatures of ~ 39 ° C, including the highest temperature in parts of southern Shaanxi, eastern Sichuan, Chongqing, northern Hunan, central Jiangxi, central and eastern Zhejiang, and central Fujian above 40 ° C (see Figure 2).Central Meteorological Observatory8moon23Day18Continue to issue a red high temperature warning.

image2 National high temperature fall area forecast map (8moon23Day08Time-20Time)

3. Specific forecast for the next three days

From 20:00 on 22 August to 20:00 on 23,Inner Mongolia Hetao Area, Northeast Heilongjiang, Western Mountainous Areas of Southern Xinjiang, Northern and Southeastern Tibet, Northern and Eastern Qinghai, Gansu Hexi, Northern Ningxia, Northern Shaanxi, Southern Shandong, Eastern Henan, Northern Anhui, Northern Jiangsu, Southern Fujian, Yunnan There is moderate to heavy rainfall in parts of the southwest and other places, including heavy rain (50-70mm) in parts of central and western Inner Mongolia, northern Jiangsu and other places ; in East Qinghai, West Henan, West Hubei, South Zhejiang, South Fujian, East Guangdong, etc. Locally there will be thunderstorms, strong winds or hail. There will be winds of magnitude 4 to 6 in parts of the southeastern and western parts of Inner Mongolia, the Liaodong Peninsula, the Southern and Eastern Xinjiang Basin, Northern Shaanxi, Central and Northern Henan, and Northern Hubei, and there will be 6-7 winds in the Bohai Sea, Bohai Strait and most of the Yellow Sea. The northerly winds of magnitude 8 and 9 gusts (see Figure 3).

Figure 3 National precipitation forecast map (20:00 on 22 August – 20:00 on 23 August)

From 20:00 on 23 August to 20:00 on 24,The Hetao area of ​​Inner Mongolia, Eastern Qinghai, Central Gansu, Western Ningxia, Northern Shaanxi, Central and Northern Shanxi, Central Jiangsu, Southern Hunan, Central and Western Guangdong, and Taiwan Island southern have experienced moderate rainfall, including the Hetao area of ​​Inner Mongolia, Eastern Qinghai, There have been heavy rains (25-40mm) in parts of northern Shaanxi, western Shanxi and central Jiangsu. There are 4-5 winds in parts of northeastern Heilongjiang (see Figure 4).

Figure 4 National precipitation forecast map (20:00 on 23 August – 20:00 on 24 August)

From 20:00 on 24 August to 20:00 on 25,Northwest Heilongjiang, Western Mountainous Areas of Southern Xinjiang, Eastern Qinghai, Southern Gansu, Northern Sichuan, Central Shaanxi, Central and Southern Shanxi, Northern Henan, Central and Eastern Guangxi, Guangdong, Southern Fujian, Central Taiwan Island, Northern Hainan Island, etc. Moderate to heavy rainfall, including heavy rain or heavy rain (100-200mm) in parts of central and southern Guangdong. There are winds of magnitude 4 to 6 in parts of central Inner Mongolia, eastern Xinjiang and other places, and winds of magnitude 7 to 8 in some coastal areas of southeastern Guangdong (see Figure 5).

Figure 5 National precipitation forecast map (20:00 on 24 August – 20:00 on 25 August)

4. Influence and concern

1. There is a lot of rainfall in the east of Northwest China, North China and other places.It is necessary to prevent the negative effects of continuous rains and short-term local heavy rains on urban transport and operations, and to strengthen the prevention of strong local convective meteorological risks;

2. Pay attention to the future development trend of “Saddle” and prevent the risks of typhoons and rain;

3. Pay attention to the development trend of high temperatures in the southern region and its negative effects on energy supply, water allocation, sanitation and epidemic prevention and human health;

4. Development trends and impacts of drought conditions from the Sichuan Basin to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.

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