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Bundesliga: CIES study calculates final table | express

Jonas Hector (left) on August 22, 2021 in a duel with Bavaria’s Serge Gnabry.

The first five game days in the Bundesliga are over, can you already make a forecast for the end of the season? The CIES did it – and created a final table.

Cologne. After five match days in the Bundesliga everything is back to normal at first glance: FC Bayern are leaders, with Greuther Fürth and VfL Bochum the two promoted teams are at the bottom of the table.

Nevertheless, a lot has happened in the Bundesliga. 1. FC Köln under Steffen Baumgart (49) is playing appealing football for the first time in years, Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg have even started a little better than FC.

CIES study: FC Bayern become champions for the tenth time in a row

In contrast, two European clubs, Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt, started the season rather moderately, and Borussia Mönchengladbach is currently playing well below its potential. Can a forecast be made for the final table now?

The International Center for Sports Studies (CIES) did just that! As part of a new calculation, the experts used a statistical model that includes the “experience of the players, the investments for transfer fees to put together the squad and the performance of the individual teams over the past 365 days”.

In the end, the result is: FC Bayern become champions for the tenth time in a row, and the runner-up is secured according to the study by VfL Wolfsburg, which is currently in second place. Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen reach the Champions League, Leipzig has to be content with the Europa League, according to CIES.


Bundesliga final table 2021/22 according to the CIES forecast

1. FC Bayern

2. VfL Wolfsburg

3. Borussia Dortmund

4. Bayer Leverkusen

5. RB Leipzig

6. Borussia Monchengladbach

7. Sc freiburg

8. Eintracht Frankfurt

9. FSV Mainz 05

10. TSG Hoffenheim

11. Union Berlin

12. 1. FC Cologne

13. Hertha BSC

14. VfB Stuttgart

15. Arminia Bielefeld

16. FC Augsburg

17. VfL Bochum

18. Greuther Fuerth


Borussia Mönchengladbach also qualifies for the Europa League again, while SC Freiburg would play in the Conference League. According to the study, the above-mentioned promoters Fürth and Bochum will be relegated, FC Augsburg would have to be relegated. However, 1. FC Köln would achieve the season goal announced by Steffen Baumgart (49) and finish the current season in twelfth place. (tsc)

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