An expert pointed to Putin’s big bluff

“Putin bluffed when he claimed that the troops were withdrawing,” said researcher Ruslan Leviev. “We have been watching everything strictly from the beginning. All the necessary elements for a large-scale war are already in place.”

“Indeed, we are not seeing any significant withdrawal of troops. We are seeing these train compositions that were filmed by the Russian Ministry of Defense itself – for example, trains departing from Crimea or the Kursk region. Apparently, they are clearly returning. at home.

But these units, which are being withdrawn together, probably represent 2,000, and perhaps 3,000, soldiers together with the corresponding equipment. And this is a drop in the ocean. About 150,000 Russian troops are currently concentrated on the Russian-Ukrainian border, as well as on the Belarusian-Ukrainian border.

“Not only numbers are important, but also the type of troops”

Because if Russia is preparing for a large-scale war, not just a small attack, and intends to conquer significant territories, forces are needed to ensure control over them. Soldiers cannot perform such functions alone. On the other hand, the Russian National Guard is able to take over the function of military police in the occupied territories.

This is the role it plays in Syria, not the territory ruled by Assad. These guardsmen have such experience, and at the moment they are deployed en masse along the Russian-Ukrainian border. “Leviev stressed that all the necessary elements for a large-scale war are already in place.

Asked if it was a Russian staging, he acknowledged that it was difficult to distinguish a bluff from a real preparation for war in such a situation, but said: “If this is really a bluff, then it is very good. Because all the necessary details, even the smallest ones, have been complied with and the relevant parts have been transferred to the border “.

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