3:12 p.m., October 16, 2020, modified at 3:33 p.m., October 16, 2020
The Minister of Health Olivier Véran assured him Thursday afternoon: “Certain territories could join the list of the territories under health curfew” if the situation deteriorates there in the coming days. For the moment, Paris, Ile-de-France, and eight metropolises (Grenoble, Lille, Lyon, Aix-Marseille, Montpellier, Rouen, Saint-Etienne and Toulouse) have been placed under curfew “because of the great circulation of the virus and the occupancy rate of resuscitation beds “, we can read on the government website. In the light of these criteria, here are the other French metropolises that could follow.
Read also – Curfews, exemptions, fines: the answers to the questions you ask yourself
Clermont, Tours, Orléans and Dijon on the wrong slope
Data from Public health France show that the metropolis of Clermont-Auvergne (Puy-de-Dôme) is the one with the highest incidence rate (number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants over a sliding week *) among the metropolises that have not been placed under curfew (264.8 per 100,000). The incidence rate has skyrocketed in recent weeks, from 98.1 just a month ago. It now exceeds that of Montpellier or Marseille, placed under curfew.
Among those over 65, it is now 234.4, more than in Paris, Marseille or even Toulouse. The 21 municipalities of the Clermont-Ferrand metropolis officially went on heightened alert on October 9, after passing the incidence rate milestone of 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. In Puy-de-Dôme, the test positivity rate crossed the 10% mark this week. The tension continues to increase on the intensive care beds, which are 45.4% occupied.
With incidence rates above 190 per 100,000 inhabitants, the metropolitan areas of Tours (193.4), Orléans (193.3) and Dijon (190) are also closely monitored.
- A Tours (Indre-et-Loire), it was slowly decreasing until the end of September (below the 100 mark) before surging since then. The prefect announced the passage of the department on enhanced alert on Saturday. “If nothing changes, Indre-et-Loire is heading straight for a curfew,” she warned, according to The New Republic. “The epidemic is rampant, the national authorities identify us as the next on the list,” she added.
- A Orléans (Loiret), the concern is also palpable. The incidence rate has been climbing gradually but has continued for more than a month: it has gone from less than 90 to more than 190. The prefect indicated that the Loiret could move into an enhanced alert zone as of this Friday, with new restrictions. The occupancy rate of intensive care beds is still under the 30% mark, but the positivity rate has “almost doubled in two weeks”, explained the prefect.
- A Dijon (Côte-d’Or), where the incidence rate had stabilized around 150 in September, the 190 mark was reached in a few days. The metropolis was placed in a heightened alert zone last week. But its intensive care bed occupancy rate remains, for the time being, under control, at just over 20%.
Strasbourg, Nancy and Metz are also worrying
In the Grand Est, very strongly affected by the first wave, the epidemic is back. The three metropolises in the region are affected by a worrying increase in their incidence rate. AT Strasbourg (Bas-Rhin), it had nevertheless settled in September before falling below 70 at the beginning of the month. But the incidence rate has jumped in recent days and now reaches 161.4 per 100,000 inhabitants.
A Nancy (Meurthe-et-Moselle), the circulation of the virus has also been faster since the beginning of October. The incidence rate was still around 110 per 100,000 inhabitants two weeks ago, it is now 142.2. “We are on probation,” said the city’s mayor, Mathieu Klein, on Thursday. AT Metz (Moselle), the incidence rate stagnated around 50 in September, but has since exploded to reach 132.5.
For the moment, the occupancy rate of intensive care beds remains low in the Grand-Est region, at less than 15% for the departments of the metropolitan areas mentioned above.
Nantes, Bordeaux and Rennes remain vigilant
In these three cities, the trend is improving but the incidence rate is high.
A Nantes (Loire-Atlantique) for example, it has been stable (149.3) for more than a week, which does not prevent the mayor Johanna Rolland from judging the situation “worrying”. “Health indicators are moving in a way that is not positive, so clearly we are preparing for all scenarios,” she said, according to France 3. Because at the same time, the occupancy rate of intensive care beds in Loire-Atlantique is increasing, while remaining low (less than 20%). In addition, the Pays de la Loire region is the one that has experienced one of the largest increases in the number of new cases for a week (+ 54% according to Public Health France).
The situation is better at Bordeaux, even if vigilance still prevails due to a high incidence rate (143.1), but which fell in early September and has stabilized since. “We delayed the spread of the epidemic,” said the prefect of Nouvelle-Aquitaine on Thursday. The city, which had been singled out after the start of the school year, has been subject to constraints in recent weeks, including the closure of gyms, swimming pools and restaurants from 10 p.m.
A Rennesfinally, the incidence rate decreases. It is 137.1 against 193 a month ago. On September 25, the regional prefect issued an order ordering the early closure of bars at 10 p.m., the closure of sports halls, the ban on student parties or even static gatherings of more than ten people in public spaces. .
As for the metropolises of Brest, Toulon and Nice, their incidence rate of less than 120 places them for the moment among the best students in France.
* Source: Géodes – Public health France
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