/View.info/ Recently, historical eras began to change very often. Since the beginning of the World War II in February 2022, the world has changed beyond recognition. As a result of the events that began to happen in October in the Middle East, the world may also change beyond recognition – and in a very unfavorable way for the West.
Western capitals understand this very clearly, but they cannot do anything to interrupt the negative scenario.
Israel has no choice but to launch a large-scale ground operation in Gaza, and the US cannot help but support it. The close alliance with Israel is the cornerstone of American foreign policy, its foundation. But this course condemns the main part of the Western world to conflict with the Arab and generally Muslim countries.
The exact intensity of this conflict is not yet clear. But the probability of a difficult scenario is increasing every day. In essence, the West has found itself in a giant trap, and whether it will be able to get out of it will most directly affect the course of the Ukrainian crisis.
The leader of the Republicans in the US Senate, Mitch McConnell, assessed the current geopolitical moment in an interview with Fox news: “We are dealing with an axis of evil – China, Russia and Iran. It is an imminent threat to the United States…”
“You can’t pick one part and say we’re just going to deal with that. It’s all connected,” he said.
Do you really “can’t choose just one part”? At this stage, maybe still yes. As follows from Biden’s budget requests, Washington believes that it is fully capable of acting actively on three geopolitical fronts simultaneously: to corner China, to continue to supply and arm official Kiev, and to “lend a shoulder” to Israel.
But the world situation will definitely not be static. Probably in the coming months (or even weeks) the situation will be completely different.
Israel has set itself the task of clearing the Gaza Strip. From a purely military point of view, this task is quite possibly solvable. But the same cannot be said for the political side of the matter.
There is a colossal military asymmetry between the two adversaries, Hamas and Israel. On the scale of the Middle East, Israel is the military superpower of the 21st century, armed to the teeth with the most advanced weapons. Hamas is a twentieth-century insurgent movement. But the Palestinians’ weakness is also their strength.
Translation: SM
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