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The Election Polls and Debates: A Close Race with Uncertain Outcome

There is a big gap in different opinion polls. No one knows yet how the election on Monday will end. In recent years, the Conservative Party has pulled sharply away from the Labor Party, but in a number of surveys the distance between them is closing.

In many of the big cities, it is still completely open whether the left or the right wins the election. The party leaders tonight had a golden opportunity to bring down voters who have sat on the fence – for several of them it was needed, and for several of them it didn’t go very well either.

Like most climate debates this election campaign, it was about electrification of the gas power plant on Melkøya. The plant is one of Norway’s largest point emitters and must cut its emissions in order for Norway to meet its climate targets.

Nevertheless, it has caused a great furore in the north. Electrification will require a large-scale development of renewable energy and means that many in the north have been afraid of their power.

The debate about school was welcome. Schools are one of the municipality’s most important tasks, but have so far slipped under the radar in an election campaign that is not very much influenced by politics.

Got the floor a lot, had an overview and was calm, even when the eligibility mess became a topic. Profits greatly from the fact that he got the floor a lot.

Enthusiastic and convincing about the government’s biggest and boldest venture, Melkøya. This is a very difficult matter for the Center Party, but very successful for the Labor Party. Here they finally got to talk about politics rather than scandals and in some places in the north, their support has tripled. Støre succeeded in convincingly and passionately explaining why he thinks this is not only a right, but very important move.

Has an overview of the challenges in the school, but a lot of “we have to deal with it”. Got a jab at Solberg when he said recruitment to the teaching profession began to fall under her government.

A slightly difficult start for the leader of the Conservative Party, who had to defend the government’s policies, but without bragging about them. Ended with a stiff condescending smile as the Prime Minister spoke.

A little sturdy, but solid. Made the presenters threaten the clock.

More offensive when she was able to turn the debate over to tax and framework conditions, but that part of the debate was quickly parked. School is the Conservative Party’s and Solberg’s favorite exercise. But was confronted with weaker results in national tests also under the Conservative government and was unable to complete this.

Vedum got the floor first, but there was no luck for him, since it was about Melkøya. This matter bothers him greatly and he tried to turn the matter over to the discussion of meat shaming and everything else. Although he appears confident and good, he did not resolve the SP tangles surrounding the Melkøya case. Discussed the boys’ and sløyden’s case in the school debate. Was challenged by Melby that he spends billions on village schools, but not on absenteeism and other problems.

Played out one of his brilliant numbers already in the opening sequence about Melkøya. Took full advantage of the opportunity. He went straight for the decision, and argued well for his point of view. Was far away from the whining about climate hysteria and symbolic politics. Was effective, and ticked all the boxes on opposition to wind turbines, care for the elderly and power to foreign countries.

Surprisingly, she revealed that she herself is a trained teacher. Wants more different teaching with more peace and order. Still not as good in the school debate. The proposal for dividing levels in schools is so old-fashioned that it can only appeal to a very narrow segment of the electorate.

More forward than in the previous party leader debates. Emphasized that it is SV’s merit that the governing parties are pulled in a climate-friendly direction. In the school debate, she accused the FRP of turning back the clock with a calm and order approach. Thought the others on the panel had contributed to separating all the good things in the school.

The leader of the teachers’ party and the former minister of education got to frolic in the school debate. – Pointed out that teachers are the responsibility of the municipalities and claimed that the Liberal Party is the only party that prioritizes teachers in negotiations with KS. Got a jab at Vedum’s talk about village schools. Will show the teachers greater confidence, but has not registered a single budget leak to the schools. Good at defending the teaching profession and believed that recruitment is falling because the teachers are not allowed to do their job.

In the climate debate, she said that no to electrification is to say no to climate cuts in Norway.

Accused the government of being a brake on the green shift, partly because electric cars have become more expensive.

As soon as she got the chance, Martinussen pointed to the FRP and stuck her finger where it hurts the most: That the FRP in government did exactly what they now say they are most against in energy policy. Then he tried to mix the Acer debate into the Melkøya debate, without it having any effect. Pointed to the FRP as the main enemy also in the school debate and said they want to introduce an A and B team. Here she was also able to enter the term “American conditions”, with a negative sign, of course.

Got one of the best lines of the evening: The government has given the bill to people in the north instead of giving it to Equinor. Struggled to break through the sound barrier, especially in climate policy. Apologized on behalf of the Norwegian people to the family of the two twin girls who died in Østfold this winter.

Tried to shout the word. It is somewhat understandable, but works poorly.

Started offensively and well, but fell through more gradually. Still not comfortable with this format. Rooted in a hopeless metaphor about smoking and cancer, but without answering Listhaug’s somewhat perfidious question about what the MDGs have smoked. Tried to bring another topic, young people’s mental health, into the school debate. Then he was immediately interrupted. Not his night tonight either.

2023-09-06 21:12:30


#Winning

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