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The Beneficiaries of the Ukraine Conflict: Analyzing Russia and Iran’s Gains

■ Host: Anchor Eom Ji-min
■ Appearance: Seong Il-gwang, Professor, Middle East and Islamic Center, Korea University

* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate content. quote poem [YTN 뉴스라이브] Please specify.

◇Anchor> The professor said that although there are many victims and the biggest beneficiaries of this incident, you chose Russia and Iran as the beneficiaries. What is the reason for each?

◆Seong Il-gwang> Russia is currently at war with Ukraine, but in reality, the international community’s attention is no longer on Russia. So I sighed, and you can see it like this. And in terms of weapons, Russia is actually a huge beneficiary. All the weapons destined for Ukraine are now coming to Israel, and for example, 155mm artillery shells are actually needed by both Ukraine and Israel, but there is a possibility that Israel needs much more now. In that respect, Putin seems to be quite smiling right now. Iran may have actually had a goal through this war, but it may have been a goal. The normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel has virtually come to a halt. In that respect. And they always declared that they wanted to take revenge on Israel, but they were not successful, but this time, they took revenge on Israel to some extent through Hamas. In that respect, Iran can also be said to be a beneficiary.

◇Anchor> So Russia and Iran do not want to escalate the war, and is it best for them if the situation prolongs like this?

◆Seong Il-gwang> It’s unfortunate, but that’s true. In fact, Russia and Iran would like this war to last longer.

◇Anchor> And there is talk that the Iranian representative office and Hamas visited Moscow, Russia. What did each person talk about?

◆Seong Il-gwang> Russia called in the Iranian Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs and then a person from the Hamas Political Bureau named Abmusa Azrku, and other people also went. In my opinion, Russia actually did not participate that actively in the beginning of this war, but the direction of the war is changing now. In fact, it is becoming a proxy war between the United States and Iran, and the United States is continuing to increase its military forces. An aircraft carrier strike group is also here, and another one will arrive this weekend, and then a lot of fighter-bombers are deployed, and then Patriots are deployed in the Middle East, and Iran is attacking US forces in Syria and Iraq. So, in this aspect, in an atmosphere that could lead to a slight escalation of war, Russia also needs to play its role. So, in fact, they were called in to analyze various information about how Hamas’ war situation is going and how Iran views it. You can see it this way.

Excerpt from conversation: Lee Mi-young, Digital News Team Editor

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2023-10-27 07:53:00

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