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The 2021 hurricane season will be above normal – Prensa Libre


Temporada de huracanes

INSIVUMEH indicates that the rainy season in Guatemala is expected to start from the first half of May and it will be normal. Photo: WikiImages on Pixabay –


The hurricane season is approaching and again different forecasts are beginning to emerge of what it will be like. For this 2021 the hurricane season in the Atlantic is forecast to be busy again, with more than 16 named tropical storms.

After a 2020 season that broke records and affected us directly in November with ETA and IOTA, the entire scientific community in the region has closely followed the different forecasts, which seem to indicate that it will be above normal but not as extreme as last year.

The forecast of various agencies such as the University of Colorado coincide in predicting that during the 2021 hurricane season, more than 8 hurricanes could form, although not necessarily all will make landfall.

Change in the way storms are named

Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms have been named from lists created and recycled by the National Hurricane Center.

This agency always starts with 21 names. In the event that more than 21 named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic basin in a season, any additional storms will take names from an alternate list of names approved by the World Meteorological Organization.

The WMO used to use the Greek alphabet when the original list was exhausted, but in March 2021, the WMO decided to stop using the Greek alphabet, citing confusion around the naming convention and because as happened in 2020, 2 cyclones with the name of the Greek alphabet caused damage to Central America, for which the names should not be used again.

Hurricane activity in the Pacific is expected to be in the normal ranges

For the Pacific Ocean, forecasters of the Central American Climate Forum organized by the Regional Committee for Hydraulic Resources (CRRH – Specialized Agency of SICA) using the technique of the most probable scenarios of sea temperature and the selection of analogous years, has predicted that the season will be within normal ranges.

In the report prepared on April 17, INSIVUMEH indicates that the rainy season in Guatemala is expected to start from the first half of May and it will be normal.

Remember that no matter how many storms are forecast, a single storm that affects the region or a highly populated area can cause great material and human damage, so preparation is key to taking actions that help reduce risk. repair the damage that ETA and IOTA left us.


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