Editorial Team, CNBC Indonesia
Saturday, 12/23/2023 10:30 WIB
Photo: Presidential Candidate (Capres), Prabowo Subianto while answering questions at the First 2024 Presidential Candidate Debate at the Indonesian KPU Office, Jakarta, Tuesday (12/12/2023). (Screenshot of RI KPU Youtube)
Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia – Foreign parties are also paying attention to the political parties taking place in Indonesia. Australian market research company, Roy Morgan, released the results of its survey regarding the 2024 presidential election. This research considers surveys conducted in July-September 2023 involving 2,630 voters.
According to the survey results, the 2024 presidential election is expected to take place in two rounds. The reason is that not a single pair of candidates has succeeded in having an electability of more than 50%.
As is known, the requirement for a one-round presidential election is that one of the candidates must win more than 50% of the vote.
Meanwhile, Ganjar Pranowo is said to be the best candidate with a gain of 38%. Prabowo Subianto follows behind with 30% while Anies Baswedan is in third place with 25%.
Ganjar is said to have a strong lead on the island of Java, which is the most populous island in Indonesia with 41% support. This is more than 10% points ahead of his challengers, Prabowo (29%) and Anies (25%).
However, on the island of Sumatra, which is the second most populous island in Indonesia, with a population of 60 million people, there is a comparison between Prabowo (33%) and Ganjar (33%). Meanwhile Anies (28%) is in third place.
Defense Minister Prabowo has an advantage because the next two most populous islands in Indonesia have a population of around 20 million people each, Sulawesi and Kalimantan. In Sulawesi, Prabowo (42%) is ahead of Ganjar (33%) and Anies (22%) and Prabowo (30%) is also slightly ahead of Ganjar (25%) and Anies (25%) on Kalimantan Island.
A Roy Morgan poll shows PDI Perjuangan ahead with 34.5% in July – September 2023. This is twice as much as Gerindra, the party of President Prabowo’s candidate, which is now in second place with 16.5%.
In third place is the Democratic Party with 12%. This was followed by the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) with 10%, Golkar with 8%, and the National Awakening Party (PKB) with 5%.
Other parties that received approximately 4% support were NasDem with 4%, United Development Party (PPP) with 1.5%, National Mandate Party (PAN) with 2%, Indonesian Unity Party (Perindo) with 1%.
Chief Executive Officer Roy Morgan, Michele Levine, said that the Indonesian legislative and presidential elections would probably be won by PDIP and Ganjar. Even so, the sustainability factor of President Jokowi’s program is something important.
“The results of the poll conducted by Roy Morgan show that there will be a continuation of President Joko Widodo’s current policies, with his party, PDIP, being the big winner in next year’s elections,” he added.
However, this opinion poll survey was conducted before the three leading candidates officially announced their vice presidential candidates (capres) and registered with the General Election Commission (KPU) to confirm their candidacy at the end of October 2023. The selection of cawapres is expected to have a significant impact on the election results.
The pair Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar and Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD officially registered with the KPU on October 19 2023. The Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming pair officially registered the following week on October 25 2023.
The race has consolidated around these three candidates with coalitions of parties supporting each candidate. These parties are all running in the legislative elections (pileg) which will be held on the same day as the Indonesian presidential election, February 14 2024.
Watch the video below:
Presidential Candidate Debate on Human Rights and Corruption, These are Important Issues!
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2023-12-23 03:30:01
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