India to Pull First Batch of Military Personnel from Maldives as Ties with China Strengthen

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India Prepares to Withdraw Military Personnel in the Maldives

India is set to pull its first batch of military personnel from the Maldives on Sunday as the island nation moves closer to China. The phased withdrawal of about 80 Indian troops must meet a May deadline set by President Mohamed Muizzu, who is widely seen to be pro-China.

Shift in Indian Strategic Influence in the Maldives

India has long wielded influence over the Maldives, benefiting from its strategic location in the Indian Ocean. However, the relationship between the Maldives and India has soured over the past few months, partly due to President Muizzu’s strong anti-India rhetoric. This has created an opportunity for China to strengthen its influence in the region.

Replacing Military Presence with Civilian Technical Staff

Following negotiations, India and the Maldives have agreed that Indian civilian technical staff will replace the military troops in the Maldives. The first team of civilian staff has already reached the islands to operate and maintain the aircraft and helicopters provided by India.

Risk of the Maldives Becoming a Pawn in the Asian Power Rivalry

The Maldives, with its strategic location, faces the risk of being caught up in the power rivalry between India and China. China has loaned over a billion dollars for infrastructure and economic development in the Maldives, and the recent military assistance agreement between China and the Maldives has caused some concern in Delhi.

Unprecedented Defence Agreement with China

The Maldivian government signed a “military assistance” agreement with China, leading to debates and worries about China’s long-term military plans in the region. Although Beijing denies having such plans, analysts and experts suggest that China is taking advantage of the Maldives’ shift in approach towards India.

Concerns of Lack of Transparency and Disclosures

President Muizzu’s administration has drawn criticism for the lack of transparency and disclosure surrounding deals and agreements with China. Many in the Maldives are also concerned about the repercussions of strained ties and the risk to vital imports and tourism from India.

Changing Tourist Landscape

Controversies and tensions between India and the Maldives have led to a shift in tourist preferences. Chinese tourists have started visiting the Maldives in significant numbers, while India has slipped to the fifth position in terms of tourist arrivals.

Future Outlook

With the threat of an escalation in the run-up to the parliamentary elections on 21 April, it is expected that President Muizzu’s anti-India rhetoric will intensify as he seeks a majority in the house.

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