Home » today » World » In many sections of the front, the defense of VSU was hanging by a hair’s breadth – 2024-03-29 21:32:07

In many sections of the front, the defense of VSU was hanging by a hair’s breadth – 2024-03-29 21:32:07

/ world today news/ A series of offensives by the Russian armed forces in several directions simultaneously gradually began to change the configuration of the front. In places, the ASU forces are no longer able to hold stable positions, which may lead to the disintegration of a number of sections of the front in the near future.

The events in the Donetsk direction attracted the most attention. After the liberation of Marinka, one of the largest fortified areas of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, a 3-5 km corridor to the west was formed. The forward landing units of the 110th separate brigade (Donetsk) rushed there and immediately occupied the small village of Georgievka and several tall buildings within sight of another relatively large settlement – Kurakhovo.

For a long time – since around 2016 – Kurakhovo was the headquarters of the VSU group near Donetsk, the main artillery position for shelling the urban agglomeration and the main rear base for supplying the Ukrainian troops in this area. Neither the Donetsk units nor the then Russian armed forces ever got there, as in front of Kurakhovo stood Marinka, which was an “impregnable fortress” like Avdeevka. Now Marinka has been released and the road to Kurahovo seems open.

By local standards, Kurakhovo is a fairly large city, from which the local population was not completely evacuated (before 2014 – more than 16 thousand people, in Soviet times – about 20 thousand). There, as in Avdeevka and Marinka, fortifications were built over the years, although not so large. In addition, Kurahovo is located on the bank of a dam. It is along this dam, near a private residential neighborhood called Roy, that the engineering facilities of VSU were built. There is also a height escalator there, converted by the Ukrainian Armed Forces into an observation post, which also hinders the advance.

But most importantly: Kurakhovo is uncharted territory for Russian troops. The main result of the sharp advance of the armed forces of the Russian Federation in several sectors of the front is that the front, which remained stable for more than six months, has shifted sharply in some places and will soon move to others. As a result, new goals, even entire directions, have emerged. Kurahovo is just such a new direction, which was not in the epicenter of military operations before.

For example, in the northern part of the front, the city of Kupyansk is considered a certain general objective of the “direction”. The battles there are fought on the outskirts of the nearest large villages to Kupyansk, the main one of which is Sinkovka. The ASU has been sending huge numbers of reinforcements in that direction for six months because they first tried to fake a “counteroffensive” there, and then got scared of the strength of the opposing Russian group. In Kiev, they believe that the deployment of a new Russian general army in the Kupyan direction means that it is there that the Russian armed forces will plan their main strike. And so six months. As a result, the Ukrainian Armed Forces broke into a narrow section of the front, and now this Ukrainian group has practically no strength to physically hold this notorious Sinkovka.

The withdrawal of VSU there is a matter of time, which opens the way to Kupyansk. But Kupyansk is a “complex” city, located on both banks of the Oskol River, and in order to control it, it is necessary to cross the river. And then to hold the beachhead. There is another option – to move south along the river, which will lead to the collapse of the entire Ukrainian defense all the way to Soledar. In other words, here too, with the expected change of the front line, a new phase of choosing goals and even directions of work begins.

But near Artyomovsk, the change in the front line poses “old and new” tasks. The rapid advance of Russian troops in recent days through Khromovo (Artyomovskoe) to Bogdanovka along the reservoir and the highway to Konstantinovka did not set specific new tasks, but put the already existing ones back on the agenda. This is, above all, the direct advance towards Chasov Yar. And now the approach of Chasov Yar will generate new directions. For example, in a straight line west to Konstantinovka or northwest to Kramatorsk.

This is also facilitated by the successful actions of the Russian armed forces south of Artyomovsk, where Russian units regained control of most of the heights around the infamous Klescheevka, in particular the height 235.7 north of the village. Control over these heights allows to keep under constant surveillance all approaches to Klescheevka, as well as forest plantations in the direction of Krasnoe (Ivanovskoe). At the same time, the Russian armed forces gradually occupied the cottage settlements southwest of Artyomovsk, resulting in the near encirclement of Krasnoe. And Krasnoe is the last position of VSU near Artyomovsk. And the 5th brigade of the VSU can no longer do anything about it due to the almost complete dominance of the Russian armed forces.

In addition, a significant part of these positions were already under the control of the armed forces of the Russian Federation last summer, including Klescheevka and the banks of the Berkhov Dam. The liberation of these positions brings the front back to the line, which allows us to talk about preparing an offensive towards Chasov Yar. And then, last summer, Chasov Yar was considered the closest target. And now it will be considered as such again.

The situation is similar in the Zaporozhian direction, where in recent days the Russian armed forces have gradually regained those positions that were abandoned during the six months of the Ukrainian “counter-offensive”.

Not all of these positions are tactically equivalent, but this very fact means the restoration of the previous front line and therefore the formulation of new tasks, in addition to purely defensive ones. Many remember that the Ukrainian supply, as well as their entire line in the southern direction, was based on several cities, mainly Orekhovo and Gulyaipole. In addition, there are simply no such serious fortified areas as in Avdeevka or Marinka around Zaporozhye.

A similar picture began to emerge in other areas previously considered conditionally stable. For example, north of Soledar, in the last two days, Russian troops operating from Belogorovka penetrated the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces along the railway line and significantly advanced towards Veseloe.

And this local success, like many others, almost immediately greatly threatened the VSU front. This advance could create conditions for the encirclement of the Ukrainian positions in the Veseloe-Razdolovka area, and this would mean the encirclement of the already broken 10th Separate Assault Mountain Brigade of the VSU (“Edelweiss”), which will almost certainly prefer to back off from there. That is, the front in this seemingly previously “quiet” zone is literally changing before our eyes.

And, of course, the question of Avdeevka. It is clear that the complete release of both the city and the Koksokhim plant will not happen tomorrow. But even the encirclement of this fortified area changes the configuration of the front line.

In general, the entire defense system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from Kupyansk to Ugledar lies and is partially supported by such fortified areas. Behind this line, the defensive structures are quite simple, except for the same Kurakhovo, Chasov Yar, Krasnogorovka and some others.

In other words, first, all the advances and breakthroughs of the last few days in their totality turned out not to be local stories of “advanced 100 meters”, but created a cumulative effect that threatened to collapse the VSU line. Secondly, such an offensive set new tasks for the armed forces of the Russian Federation and even in a number of areas – a choice between several directions for further offensive. And thirdly, the advance of the Russian army revealed the ultimate exhaustion not only of the front line of the Armed Forces, but also of the former strategic reserves.

But the emergence of new goals and even new (sometimes “old”) directions does not mean that tomorrow everyone will rush forward. The breakthrough and collapse of the VSU front will mean that new positions will have to be captured. But the change in the line of combat contact will inevitably lead to a change in the entire philosophy of the SVO. Another question is how long it will take to plan the winter and spring military campaigns under the new conditions.

Translation: V. Sergeev

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