Synthesis:Mid-term elections were held in the United States as scheduled on November 8, local time, and the election results are gradually being announced. Donkey-elephant contest, who will be the final winner?
Mid-term elections were held in the United States as scheduled on November 8, local time, and the election results are gradually being announced. Donkey-elephant contest, who will be the final winner?
Analysts believe Republicans should win a majority in the House of Representatives, the Senate election results are still pending, and the United States appears to be heading for a new era of government division.
“Anything could happen”
The votes of US voters in the midterm elections will mark the performance of Biden and the Democrats in the White House and in both houses of Congress.
Voters will decide whether to trust Democrats or Republicans for the next two years to lead the nation through persistently high inflation, a looming recession and growing social divisions.
According to Associated Press statistics, at 1:47 pm Beijing time, the Democratic Party won 47 seats in the Senate and the Republican Party won 46 seats. In the House of Representatives, Republicans won 176 seats and Democrats 140.
Image source: Associated Press report screenshot
“Anything can happen in this year’s mid-term elections.” The New York Times wrote that in the Senate, the race most likely to decide control remains fierce. The House of Representatives has a similar situation, and while Republicans are clearly more likely to win the House, dozens of races remain uncertain. The newspaper offered four possibilities for the outcome of the elections:
Option 1: Republicans win
With several key Senate races and dozens of House races appearing close, even a few random discoveries could give the GOP the feel of a big win: Senate control and a big House raise.
Possibility n. 2: Democrats feel victory
While the Democrats can’t keep holding the House of Representatives, they haven’t let the Republicans get too many seats, which is still good news for the Democrats, and even makes the Democrats feel that this is still a victory.
Chance 3: landslide victory for the Republicans
If polls underestimate the GOP’s mid-term election performance, Republicans could be headed for a “red wave” by an avalanche of votes. With Republicans steadily rising in the polls, they are likely to gain an even greater advantage.
Chance # 4: A surprise for the Democrats
An unexpected result could be: the Democrats hold both Houses of Congress, but it is very unlikely. However, the chance is not zero. Unlike previous elections, Democrats remain competitive in enough races to take control of the House of Representatives. Not only have the Democrats remained competitive in the Senate race, they also have room to become even more desirable.
“America is heading for a new era of divided government”
The Wall Street Journal commented that the United States appears to be heading for a new era of government division. The mid-term election campaign revealed deep voter dissatisfaction with the highest inflation rate in 40 years, economic uncertainty, access to abortion and crime.
The latest exit polls show that inflation is the biggest problem for voters at the polls. About a third of respondents cited inflation as the main issue affecting their vote and 27% cited abortion as the main issue.
The poll found a stark partisan gap between those who put inflation at the top of their list and those who put abortion at the top of their list. Nearly half of voters supporting Republican House candidates said inflation was their main concern, while about 44% of voters supporting Democratic House candidates listed abortion.
On the other hand, there are reports that the outcome of these elections may not be known anytime soon. If the race is really as tight as the polls predict and the losers defy the count, the final result could take days or even weeks.
During the campaign, Republican candidates in some states continued to repeat the theory of “election fraud” that Trump shouted after losing the presidential election. A series of pre-election lawsuits by Republicans and Democrats in more than 30 states have also generally raised questions about the elections.
The British website “Observer” recently published an article commenting that “American democracy is facing a dangerous time”. Several recent polls have shown that about half of Americans believe there will be a civil war.
Original title: Split and suspense, who will be the winner of the mid-term elections in the United States?
