Less than a month before the election, Trump’s loss to Joe Biden deepens.
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It is not to blame from above as a pandemic. Now Trump is only to blame.
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Donald Trump has been solving one big problem since March – the loss to Joe Biden. His democratic challenger holds an above-standard lead in pre-election polls. An advantage that would almost certainly guarantee him victory in the upcoming elections.
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Trump had to use all his strength to lower Biden’s lead. He has not been able to do this for a long time due to the pandemic and racial unrest. However, at the beginning of September, in the period after the Republican nomination congress, Trump began to tighten his juice slightly. In addition, most analysts gave Trump a good chance of defeating Biden in the pre-election debate, making the battle for the presidency even more even.
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Everything was ready for the president’s last election “attack”.
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But the end of September came. And days that quite possibly ruined all chances of Trump’s re-election.
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Against all
It all started with the death of US Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Although he was in no hurry to nominate new Supreme Court judges, especially in the presidential election year, Trump wanted to fill the vacancy immediately.
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Undoubtedly, it makes political sense. The Supreme Court can solve potential problems related to the presidential election.
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However, it makes no sense to vote. More than 60% of Americans think that the Supreme Court judge should be chosen by the winner of the November election. Only 23% believe that the judge should nominate Donald Trump now.
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Such a clear view seldom prevails in the American public debate. And if he shows up, it’s quite logical that the candidate should follow him. Otherwise he will lose votes.
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Trump didn’t consciously do it, and the downhill could begin. Surprisingly, the presidential debate with Joe Biden also helped.
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Debate week
The long-awaited first presidential debate took place on Tuesday, September 29. Biden entered her as an outsider. Republicans and analysts of the month questioned his rhetorical abilities and was right. Biden did not prove to be a good speaker, and his performance was below average at best.
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His luck was that Trump was even worse.
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According to viewers, Joe Biden won the debate overwhelmingly. In the CNN survey, 60% of viewers attributed the victory in the debate to the Democratic candidate, and only 28% attributed to Trump. Donald Trump’s debate did not show any of the serious polls.
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The debate was very quickly reflected in the election polls. In them, Biden increased its national lead from seven to ten percentage points.
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The movement by three percentage points may not seem significant at first glance. However, this is the biggest change in preferences this year in such a short time and at the same time the biggest leadership of a democratic candidate. At a time when Trump and the Republicans were hoping to start withdrawing Biden’s lead.
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Similarly, polls in key states such as Florida and Pennsylvania, which are likely to decide the outcome of this year’s election, have shifted.
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An already bad week worsened for Trump when the president tested positive for covid-19.
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Sick president
Coronavirus has become Trump’s biggest rival this year. He loses to Biden, among other things, because the Americans do not approve of his action against the pandemic.
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The president’s illness thus placed the pandemic even more at the center of the election campaign. And if the pandemic remains the main theme, Donald Trump will almost certainly lose.
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In addition, the president aggravated the situation with his statement after returning from hospitalization at Walter Reed Hospital. He told the Americans that coronavirus should not dominate their lives. He said this in the USA, where over 200,000 people died of coronavirus due to Trump’s lax reaction.
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The attitude of Americans towards the president’s statement is clear – over 60% of voters across the parties do not agree with a similar attitude to the virus.
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Their position is nicely underlined by the statement of Trump’s intelligence adviser, Axios: At the same time, many of them have not seen their grandchildren for almost a year. “
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These events put Trump in an unenviable situation. It is already losing ten percentage points in surveys and the time until November 3 is shortening.
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When are the elections?
The election is three weeks away, and Trump must try to withdraw Biden’s lead. Of the events known in advance that can help Trump, there is only one left: the third presidential debate (the second was canceled due to the president’s illness). The first one didn’t work out for him, but it is possible that he will win in the third.
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You may be thinking that Trump can reverse this, for example, thanks to the aforementioned debate and withdraw Biden’s lead by November. The problem, however, is that the elections really started in September. As of October 13, 12 million Americans have withdrawn (the winner of the election needs to get about 70 million votes this year). Moreover, this option is used to a much greater extent by Biden’s supporters.
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Thus, the overall package of voters, which he can still convince, is also reduced for Trump. The president’s loss, which we see in the polls today, is thus reflected in the final results of November.
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All indications are that Trump’s presidency is coming to an end. And the president himself helps the most.
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Poll
Who, if you could, would be elected President of the United States?
I would not choose any of them.
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A total of 1771 readers voted.
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