Since the end of confinement on May 11, a question has been on everyone’s lips: will a second wave of Covid-19 hit France in the weeks to come? For the time being, Public Health France notes a decrease in the number of confirmed cases of Covid-19, of deaths and hospitalizations in intensive care. Daniel Lévy-Bruhl, head of the Public Health France infections unit, remains cautious with these figures. “All we can say is that today we have no warning signal, but that it is too early to draw this conclusion that everything will be fine (…) There is a gap between what we measure today and what it corresponds to: what we measure today is still the benefits of confinement, “he explains to Agence France. Press (AFP).
For this third week post-containment, the assessments of Public Health France are carefully scrutinized by the government. The incubation period, the interval between contamination and the onset of the first symptoms, of fourteen days has passed. With deconfinement, contacts between individuals have multiplied. The risks of infection and a new peak of contamination cannot therefore be ruled out.
Coronavirus: is the virus comparable to the Spanish flu?
On social media, comments on a possible second wave continue to flow. A post, shared on Facebook, compares the Covid-19 crisis to that of the Spanish flu of 1918: “The most severe pandemic in history was the Spanish flu of 1918. It lasted 2 years, in 3 waves of contamination with 500 million people infected and totaling 50 million deaths. (…) Most of the deaths occurred during the 2nd wave of contamination. ” At the end of the message, the author also adds: “Let us not let history repeat itself. Let us be disciplined and let go of nothing.”
Interviewed by the newspaper Le Monde, Freddy Vinet, professor of geography at the University of Paul-Valéry-Montepellier
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