A prominent epidemiologist in Hong Kong has warned that the deadly Corona virus can reach 60% of the world’s population, calling on other countries to adopt virus containment measures such as those taken by China..
The British Guardian newspaper said that the warnings of Professor Gabriel Leung, Head of Public Health Medicine at the University of Hong Kong, came after the Director of the World Health Organization said that recent cases of corona infection for patients who have never visited China may be the tip of the iceberg..
Leung pointed out that the overwhelming question is knowing the size and shape of this iceberg. Most experts believe that every person who is infected will pass the virus on to about 2.5 other people, which means an attack rate of 60-80.%.
Leung said in statements to the Guardian, while he was in London on his way to a meeting of experts at the World Health Organization in Geneva, that 60% of the world’s population is a very large number.
Even if the overall death rate is now a little about 1%, which Leung believes is possible given the average conditions, the death toll may be huge..
Leung will tell the WHO meeting that the main problem is the size of the epidemic that is expanding around the world, and the second priority is to know whether the radical measures taken by China to prevent the spread of the virus have succeeded, because if that happens, other countries should start to Adopt it.
The Guardian noted that Leung, who is one of the world’s experts in corona epidemics, and played a major role in dealing with SARS in 2002 and 2003, works closely with other prominent scientists. And he had warned in a study in the Lancet journal that the Coruna outbreak was likely to increase strongly in the cities of China, to fall behind by only one to two weeks from Wuhan.
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