A famous epidemiologist warns about the “considerable impact” and largely underestimated social measures on confined populations. The third wave of the Covid will mainly be a shrink.
Posted: 02/13/2021, 10:48 PM—
–The proportion of people with severe depressive symptoms was 3% before confinement. It drops to 9% in April, after the first wave, to reach 18% in November.
Our obsession with Covid masks another deleterious reality: “Containment is hypertoxic for populations, warns Dr. Martin Blachier. When you take measures that affect everyone, they have a considerable impact, recalls the Parisian epidemiologist. It is a global health problem, we cannot pretend that it was only the Covid which affected people’s health: depression, for example, affects 20 to 25% of a population, in international average. “
Dr Blachier is a specialist in these computer models used to try to anticipate the evolutions of the pandemic. He has published in the journal “Nature”. “Modeling is really our job,” explains the director of Public Health Expertises. Internally, we ran our model, to look at what the impact would be in the event of a third confinement, and see what we would gain with such a measure, but also what the cost would be in terms of mental health. “
