The map of the regions, in the Italy of the covid, today between the yellow zone and the orange zone can change. The monitoring of the ISS and the control room with the new data will define the color, the rules and the measures to counter the increase in infections, driven by the Omicron variant. The yellow zone encompasses a large part of the country. The yellow list is very long: Lombardy, Lazio, Abruzzo, Tuscany, Valle d’Aosta. Emilia Romagna, Piedmont. Sicily, Liguria, Marche, Veneto, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Calabria, the autonomous provinces of Trento and Bolzano.
Indications can come from the latest data from Agenas, the National Agency for Regional Health Services, which photograph the situation in hospitals. On the whole, admissions to non-critical areas reach 27%. The regional threshold for the transition from the yellow zone to the orange zone is 30% occupancy. Intensive care is 18% occupied. Regionally, you turn orange when your revives hit 20%. The picture is completed by an incidence that should not exceed 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants: the limit, with Omicron, is widely exceeded.
If at the end of the month at least a third of Italy could turn orange, the situation in the Aosta Valley stands out immediately, with 54% of hospitalizations in wards and 21% in intensive care: parameters, therefore, orange. Calabria risks, which rises to 39% in the non-critical area but drops to 17% in resuscitation and could therefore avoid relegation. Sicily in the balance, whose fate could be decided at the photo finish. Friuli Venezia Giulia breaks through the roof in the wards, but should remain in the yellow zone for intensive care. Same goes for Lombardy and Liguria. Except also Lazio, despite the intensive therapies beyond the limit. The data let Veneto breathe, for now. “The data tells us that we would not be orange. The Rt index is 1.34. The intensive care occupancy rate is 20%, so we have reached” the threshold for moving into the orange zone, says Governor Luca Zaia.
“If the occupancy rate drops, it makes us breathe. At 20% we are in the orange zone,” he explains. “In the medical area, the employment rate is 25% (24% for Agenas, ed): we are missing 5 points, if the trend is this” it will reach 30% “in a week. The incidence is 2238.8 cases out of 100 thousand inhabitants. The Omicron variant is 65.9% in Veneto. This means that in 10 days we are all Omicron “, he adds. A model “gives us the peak of infections on January 23. That of hospitalizations, on February 12. There could be only 10 more people hospitalized, but the situation should not be underestimated. Do not tell us that the hospital is not needed with the covid: in a month I am 2 years in this situation … “.
The change in color is closely linked to the number of hospitalizations. “The Regions will ask to adopt the ECDC guidelines” for the definition of the covid case, says Zaia, turning on the spotlight on the debate. “The ECDC, the official European body, clarifies that two criteria must be met: the subject must have respiratory diseases or flu symptoms and must test positive for a swab, antigenic or molecular. The patient who is positive but without symptoms is not a coincidence. says the ECDC “.
The definition of ‘covid case’ also has an impact on the number of hospitalizations. “The parturient who enters the hospital and is positive in the screening is included among the positive patients. These are people who are in hospital for other reasons, not for the covid. The typical case, more frequent, is precisely that of the parturient. We. we ask that this share of patients, which is not very large but weighs on the passage from area to area, be removed from the statistics. A lady who goes to the hospital to give birth, is positive but has no symptoms, it is not a case for the ECDC lines. clear, nothing is being trivialized “, he highlights.
For the Higher Institute of Health, on the other hand, asymptomatic positives are counted among covid cases. “The definition of a surveillance case must contain the positives, and not only the cases with the most indicative symptoms of Covid-19 (respiratory symptoms, high fever, altered taste and smell, etc.)”, explains the Higher Institute of Health in a ‘ featured ‘on your site.
AGENAS DATA REGION BY REGION
Abruzzo: 26% (non-critical area), 20% (intensive care);
Basilicata: 21% (non-critical area), 1% (intensive care);
Calabria: 39% (non-critical area), 17% (intensive care);
Campania: 25% (non-critical area), 12% (intensive care);
Emilia-Romagna: 25% (non-critical area), 17% (intensive care);
Friuli Venezia Giulia: 29% (non-critical area), 23% (intensive care);
Lazio: 25% (non-critical area), 22% (intensive care);
Liguria: 37% (non-critical area), 18% (intensive care);
Lombardy: 33% (non-critical area), 17% (intensive care);
Marche: 26% (non-critical area), 23% (intensive care);
Molise: 10% (non-critical area), 5% (intensive care);
PA Bolzano: 15% (non-critical area), 16% (intensive care);
PA Trento: 25% (non-critical area), 28% (intensive care);
Piedmont: 28% (non-critical area), 23% (intensive care);
Puglia: 18% (non-critical area), 11% (intensive care);
Sardinia: 14% (non-critical area), 14% (intensive care);
Sicily: 34% (non-critical area), 20% (intensive care);
Tuscany: 23% (non-critical area), 22% (intensive care);
Umbria: 32% (non-critical area), 14% (intensive care);
Valle d’Aosta: 54% (non-critical area), 21% (intensive care);
Veneto: 24% (non-critical area), 19% (intensive care).
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