Xi Jinping and the conflict with the United States
“In my personal opinion, I think Probably worse than before. This is because what Xi Jinping is doing is what the US side is doing. consider it a challenge ”.
What are these challenges? :
1. Uncertainty about investments in China
Coming to power in Xi Jinping’s third term, there is a very important policy: “It is a question of giving weight to the issue of socialism that dominates capitalism” This domination is capitalism investing in China. including up to China’s domestic capital group must not only hope for profit But China’s security ideology must also be taken into account. according to the principle of mutual prosperity; or Common prosperity
2. Expand the role of the Communist Party
What is now evident is that China is expanding the role of the Communist Party in trying to tell the world “The Chinese system of government is better than that of the United States.” It would be a confrontation to compete directly with the United States for ideology.
3. The absolute consolidation of power
before coming to power in the 3rd period of “Xi Jinping” Within China, there is a very pronounced division of power between the government and the Communist Party. while the Chinese government will have a duty to implement the policy done earlier, it was clearly noted that the president of China always walks alongside the prime minister.
but when the time comes “Xi Jinping” Rising to the Chinese Presidency This is a position that holds power both as general secretary of the Communist Party, as president, and as the highest military authority. One thing that can be observed is “Li Keqiang” The Chinese Prime Minister leaves “Xi Jinping” much, how the expressed political implications can be interpreted “Li Keqiang” not the person of “Xi Jinping”
And this point is even more pronounced. After the rise to power in the third period because what happened was not seen. “Li Keqiang” appearing again close to the supreme leader of China Therefore, it is expected that the General Assembly of the Chinese Communist Party will be held in March next year (year 2023). “Mr. Li Qiang” who are close people to whom they are close “Xi Jinping” will be elected as the next Prime Minister which is equal to “Xi Jinping” it will have more complete power over the Chinese government
“Xi Jinping’s decision on the economic administration of the Chinese government in the third era will no longer be an economic point of view. but it will be seen primarily in the perspective of the communist ideology that this obsession means. Once economic domination could be a technology obtained from the private sector. to be used in the development of the armed forces, therefore the conflicts resulting from mistrust will be very high. And that is why the US must continue to block China’s access to technology? especially in the semiconductor industry “.
Xi Jinping on the sign of making China a superpower:
The vision of China at the moment is 1. by 2035 China will be modern socialism. He is a socialist who sees the economy under the supervision of socialism. that it can cause the economy to expand slowly but with quality, that is, capitalism must be consistent with the stability of China; And 2. by 2049 China must step forward to become a world power. For this reason she began to see the phenomenon. Expand the influence of the Chinese army in several territories especially Africa, ASEAN and Latin America. Both of these problems are problems that create dissatisfaction with the United States. both in economic and security terms And it will surely expand the conflict between the two sides in the future.
Xi Jinping on the topic of the consolidation of power:
politics :
“The absolute consolidation of power On the one hand, it could make Xi Jinping stronger in both political and security matters. but on the other hand, this type of force can also bring risks ”.
Political force under the control of the Communist Party Even if it could calm the inside of China for a while But it could be to keep dissatisfaction a secret. Also, one thing not to forget is the thorough examination that this Corruption checks are also often used. which, on the one hand, acts directly But on the other hand, it must be recognized that this question is used as a pretext to eliminate even political opponents. which equates to gradually ramping up the enemy by default Both of these issues could become fuel for future eruptions.
Also, one thing that must not be forgotten is “Stomach problems” Because China is currently facing the lowest economic expansion around. 50 years In addition, most analysts are also expected that from now on, about 5-10 years China’s Economic Growth Rate At best, it could only expand 4% only if it’s true In addition to preventing China from breaking out of the middle-income trap of its vision of becoming a modern socialist country by 2035, it has been successful.
At present, China is still plagued by various economic problems. The trade war with the United States, the deprivation of the semiconductor industry, the high public debt at 300% of GDP, the impact of the Covid-zero policy and the bad credit crisis in the real estate sector.
“When politically blocked but the economy is fine People may be able to accept it, but on the other hand, if politically blocked, the economy is still not doing well. I think there is definitely a problem. And this is a very challenging question for Xi Jinping to be able to manage the economy under the pressure of this geopolitical conflict. How to respond to the direction of becoming a superpower and maintaining peace in the country? “
Xi Jinping with BRICS Partners:
“In my personal opinion, I think the BRICS are unlikely to go very far. Because it is a group that already has internal conflicts ”.
It is very difficult BRICS they will be closely grouped Because India has no way to trust China, South Africa and Brazil. She wouldn’t give Russia a big advantage, so she could only get together for a certain amount of reciprocity, like building bargaining power with the United States and her allies, as well as having enough talks. with each other in terms of trade cooperation But achieving integration par excellence is difficult because the five countries, namely China, Russia, India, South Africa and Brazil, have different geopolitical and security orientations.
Xi Jinping and the APEC meeting in Thailand:
“There may be an important role played by Russia. But there will be no full Russian assistance. “
in fact Russia relies more on China. But right now, China and Russia are simply on the same side of the conflict with the United States. The two parts therefore seem close to each other. However, it must be admitted in terms of economic issues China has more ties to the United States and Europe than to Russia. This can be confirmed by the last. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz I just traveled to China for the first time. to make a deal with COSCO SHIPPING Lines Co., Ltd. acquisition of shares by China 44.9% of the container terminal of the city of Hamburg
Therefore, China is not completely with Russia. And this role will continue while attending the APEC meeting in Thailand. or at most China could say in a broad sense, for example, asking for cooperation to solve the food crisis. This is partly the result of the war in Ukraine or asks both sides to turn only to the talks.
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