The Republican convention went all out to revive his campaign and Trump is relying on law and order, but nothing helps, the electorate does not follow.
Despite four days of convention where Republicans monopolized the airwaves by singing the praises of their candidate and despite his efforts to draw attention to certain violent protests, Donald Trump remains far behind Joe Biden in the voting intentions.
Where are the president’s supernatural salesperson powers?
No lift
Normally, one would have expected an upturn after the Republican convention, but the barrage of recent polls shows no sign of a significant tightening of Biden’s lead.
Overall, Trump is trailing by about seven points, roughly the same gap that prevailed before the conventions. In key states, Biden’s lead has not narrowed.
Both the blind supporters of Trump and the cassandres among his opponents, however, continue to trumpet his legendary powers of persuasion. At the moment, it doesn’t work.
Panic ?
What we are witnessing looks more like panic. Donald Trump is playing with fire by giving the impression of blowing on the embers of violence in the hope of taking advantage of the insecurity of part of the electorate.
Trump has gone so far as to defend the homicides committed by a young far-right protester and to encourage improvised militias armed to the teeth to make their own law against the real, but largely exaggerated, threat of violent so-called far-left groups . The political wisdom of this inflammatory strategy, which amounts to stoking violence in order to better pose as a defender of law and order, seems rather dubious.
The problem is twofold. First, most voters place the economy and health well above these issues which only affect a minority. Then, this violence occurs during his presidency and it is ironic that he claims to be the only one capable of solving a problem for which his opponents can blame him.
The energy of despair
Obviously, Donald Trump will turn up the volume and multiply the attempts to make people forget the dismal failure of his response to the pandemic and the multiple scandals that continue to sweep over him and his entourage.
Trump will blow the whistle, but the presumption that he is destined to sneak his way to victory at the last minute like he did in 2016 has yet to be demonstrated, not least because opinion is much less fluid this time around. -this.
Not only have the past few weeks demonstrated the president’s powerlessness to turn the tide, Democrats raised record-breaking fundraisers in August and they can push Trump to his limits by seriously challenging states previously taken for granted as Ohio, Georgia and even Texas.
Of course, Trump will deploy the energy of desperation, but in doing so he will be as likely if not more likely to make costly mistakes than to find the winning streak.
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