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The war in Ukraine – Is in a dead end

There are many indications that things have not gone exactly according to plan for Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Major General Kyrylo Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence service (GUR), believes that Russia has the means to fight until the turn of the year, but that the invasion is already a strategic defeat for Putin.

– Putin is in a dead end. He can neither stop the war nor win it. He can not win for objective reasons. And to stop it, he must acknowledge that Russia is not at all the big and strong state he wanted to make it appear, Budanov says to The Wall Street Journal.

MAJOR GENERAL: Kyrylo Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence (GUR), believes Putin is in a dead end. Photo: The intelligence service of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense
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According to the intelligence chief, it will have consequences for Putin to have to explain to the Russian people that he was not able to conquer Ukraine.

– When they finally realize that the tsar is not as big and powerful as he pretends to be, it is a step towards the destruction of the Russian state as we know it today, he says.

– Surprised by the stupidity

It is in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine that the fighting is now at its worst, without Russia making significant progress, according to intelligence from Ukraine and Britain.

Budanov claims that the intelligence service has a network of agents in Russia, and that they work closely with the US intelligence service. He claims that the intelligence service is following Putin and other Russian leaders closely.

According to Ukrainian intelligence, Putin rejected rate from his closest advisers on the invasion of Ukraine on 24 February. Putin’s original goal was to gain control of the capital Kyiv within a few days, and establish a pro-Russian government in the country.

– I’m surprised by the Russian stupidity. Of all the options Putin had before the war began, he chose the most brutal and the worst option for him, he says.

EXPLOSION: On Friday 20 May, 7 people, including an 11-year-old, were allegedly injured in what is to be a missile attack. Video: Telegram
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Suffers large losses

According to British intelligence, Russia is now suffering heavy losses in Ukraine and the soldiers in the Donbas are “significantly behind schedule”.

– Despite small progress initially, Russia has not managed to gain significant ground in the last month, at the same time the persistent wear and tear is great, it says in the analysis from the British Ministry of Defense.

They also write that Russia has lost a third of the troops sent in February.

They also point to significant shortages of equipment, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance drones. This will “almost certainly” delay them even more.

– The Russian forces are increasingly characterized by reduced combat efficiency and low morale. Under these circumstances, it is unlikely that Russia will escalate its progress dramatically in the next thirty days, it says.

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