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The Wagner Group and the Rising Tensions with Poland: Insights from NBS Major Jānis Slaidiņš

“The last day, it was very actively talked about, discussed on Kremlin TV channels, that we have to go and liberate Europe and start, of course, with Poland, because we have to defend Ukraine, because it wants to take away Ukraine’s western regions. So now Poland has been chosen as the enemy No. 2 after Ukraine,” said NBS major, National Guard staff officer Jānis Slaidiņš in the TV24 program “Actuals on military activity in Ukraine”, commenting on the current events related to the movement of the targeted “Wagner” militant group towards Belarus, ever closer the borders of Poland and Lithuania.

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In Russia, various scenarios have been discussed and “played out” in the media, to start with, of course, with the main emphasis on the “Wagner” group. “This will be the main strike force! It must be understood that without the Russian armed forces, the “Wagner” march to Poland will be very insufficient,” explained the NBS major.

“The whole escalation of this situation around Poland is more like an informative psychological operation – quite powerful, effective, people are worried. And for Putin, as an old Chekist, a Chek officer, this is a favorite tactic. It was almost certainly developed with his own blessing, and he was assigned one of the main roles there, because right after his victory, that Poland should be grateful to the Soviet Union, to Stalin – she has gained territory, and now we need to think… Well, in that Putin style, all that !” Slaidiņš commented on the TV24 program, explaining the recent events in Belarus and around the “Vagner” group.

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Also, NBS major Slaidiņš emphasized that the location of the “Wagner” mercenary group on the border of the European Union is a unique hybrid means of exerting psychological pressure. “Russia wants to force the West into peace negotiations with war blackmail. And, of course, there are enough politicians in the West who are afraid of war, and this direction, this information operation, is probably aimed directly at them, so that, as they say, maybe the pressure will start in various parliaments, that it is necessary to sit down and talk with Russia, ” this is what Slaidiņš emphasized in the TV24 program “Actuals about the war in Ukraine”.

It has already been announced that the thirteenth motorcade of fighters from the Russian mercenary group “Vagner” has arrived in Belarus, the Belarusian web publication “Belarusski Hajun” reported on Friday, June 28. There are at least 80 vehicles in the convoy and it went from Babrujska towards Asipovići along the M5 highway. Estimates of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine show that about 5,000 Wagnerians have already arrived in Belarus.

On the other hand, Poland, Lithuania and Latvia are ready to close the borders with Belarus in case of provocations by the Russian military mercenary group “Wagner”, Polish Minister of the Interior Mariuss Kamińskis told the British newspaper “The Guardian”. If serious incidents involving “Wagner” mercenaries take place on the borders of Poland, Lithuania and Latvia, these countries “will definitely start joint actions”, said the minister.

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Meanwhile, Vītauts Landsbergis, the first leader of the restored independent Lithuania, said on Thursday, July 27, that the fighters of the “Wagner” mercenary group in Belarus can be used to push them to Europe. He allows for the possibility that Russian President Vladimir Putin could roll the Wagnerites over to Europe to get rid of them.

“Maybe Putin is afraid of them, or maybe Putin just wants to push them to Europe, for example, through Lithuania, so that they either destroy someone or be destroyed themselves, but not by Putin’s hands,” Landsbergis told Lithuanian public broadcaster LRT. He added that it would be better for Lithuania if it did not have Wagnerians in its neighborhood. “It is better that they are not here, that they go somewhere in Africa, they have mines there, all kinds of corrupt countries, that they go if Putin does not need them in Russia,” said Landsbergis.

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2023-07-28 09:43:19
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