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The Fourth Filling of the Renaissance Dam: Storage Ranges and Implications for Egypt and Sudan

The fourth storage ranges from 20 to 25 billion cubic meters…

On Thursday, July 6, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed approved preparations for the fourth filling of the Renaissance Dam, calling for the resumption of negotiations with Egypt and Sudan.

The Ethiopian Prime Minister said, during the twenty-eighth regular session of the Ethiopian Parliament, that “the fourth filling of the Renaissance Dam will extend until next September so that we do not harm the downstream countries (Egypt and Sudan),” and stressed that the dam is approaching the fourth filling, and the previous three stages did not affect the state. Egypt and Sudan.

While Dr. Abbas Sharaki, a professor of water resources at Cairo University, commented on the statements of the Ethiopian Prime Minister, saying that the process of fourth filling and storage of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, there is no information exchanged about it by the Ethiopian side, and he added in televised statements that information must be exchanged according to studies. The filling rules and it is necessary to be notified upon implementation.

Fourth storage from 20 to 25 billion cubic meters

Abbas Sharaki expected that the fourth storage would range from 20 to 25 billion cubic meters, and this is a very huge amount, because the total storage in the previous 3 times amounted to 17 billion cubic meters, stressing that the Ethiopian Prime Minister’s statement not to harm the fourth filling in Egypt is a lie.

He stressed that Egypt has information through its sources, and from satellites it knows what is happening months before it occurs, explaining that any cubic meter of water stored in Ethiopia is from Egypt’s share, and Abbas Sharqi asked: “How does the storage of 17 billion cubic meters in Ethiopia not cause harm?” to Egypt?”.

He explained that if this amount came to Egypt, the state would expand agriculture and increase the areas of cultivated rice, stressing that one million acres of rice brings a revenue estimated at $6 billion.

He added that the establishment of water treatment plants for use in agriculture costs the state huge sums of money, stressing that the Bahr Al-Baqar station, which was established two years ago and cost the state 18 billion pounds, and others in the Al-Hamam station, and that these projects are to compensate for the water that the state loses due to the Renaissance Dam.

While Nader Noureddine, a professor of soil and water at the Faculty of Agriculture, Cairo University, said in exclusive statements to “Sada El Balad” that Ethiopia has finished raising the middle barrier of the Renaissance Dam, which started in mid-April and ended before the end of June, and this barrier intercepts the waters of the Blue Nile, and no water point can To pass through the dam only after the filling is completed and the water begins to pass through the top of this barrier.

Where does the flood water go?

He pointed out that the Ethiopian Prime Minister says that he will disrupt the filling, so how will this happen and where will the flood water go? He referred to his second statement that the filling will happen gradually until the middle of next September, and this is not scientific talk because the barrier prevents water until the lake is filled and the water reaches a height above the level of the middle barrier who have finished raising it and know the amount of water that they will store, and he confirmed that he is sending a message of deception to the world and his talk about filling The gradual flow until mid-September means that the flood waters will be in July 12 billion cubic meters, and in August 12 billion cubic meters also pass through the two lower openings of the dam from 50 to 70 million cubic meters per day so that the river does not dry up, i.e. about 2 billion per month, and here you will reserve 10 billion in July, August and 5 billion in September to reach the storage of 25 billion and pass 2 billion to Egypt and Sudan every month.

He explained that Abi Ahmed invents a new term called “gradual filling”, which is defined as the annual filling, that is, instead of the filling continuing over a period of 7 years, it makes it over 10 years, and there is not within the year what is called the gradual filling because the barrier has risen and withholds water, so it is deceptive talk that has no basis. It is healthy and has nothing to do with science.
Observers are waiting for the possibility of the three countries (Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia) reaching an agreement with the completion of the construction of the Renaissance Dam in 2024 or 2025, depending on the amount of rain that falls.

2023-07-07 00:38:00
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