/ world today news/ At the beginning of January, Ukrainian President V. Zelensky in an interview with the oldest business weekly in Great Britain, The Economist, indicated the defeat of Russia in the Black Sea and the isolation of Crimea as the main goals of Ukraine, and also spoke about the strategy of Ukrainian Armed Forces.
“Crimea and the Black Sea will become the center of gravity of the war in 2024,” he predicted.
– “Isolating Crimea and reducing Russia’s military potential there is extremely important for us because it is a way to reduce the number of attacks from that region,” he said.
“The success of such an operation would become an example for the whole world. It would also have a great effect inside Russia… Losing the naval bases that Russia has held for the past 240 years would be a huge shame for Putin. Russia should also know, that the Crimean bridge is a military object for us,” the Ukrainian leader said.
There are essential prerequisites for such a strategy, because the regime in Kiev is actively encouraged to act in this way by London and Paris, tormented since the middle of the 19th century by the “phantoms of the Crimean War”, incl. by supplying a suitable weapon.
At the end of December, British Defense Minister Grant Shapps wrote on his page on social networks: “In 4 months, 20% of the Russian Black Sea Fleet was destroyed. The Black Sea Fleet’s dominance in the Black Sea now faces competition from the UK-led naval coalition.”
At the same time, Ukraine announced the destruction (on the night of December 26) of the Russian amphibious assault ship “Novocherkask”. As the commander of the air forces of the Kyiv regime, Lieutenant General Mykola Oleshchuk, said, the Ukrainian armed forces struck the ship in the port of Feodosia. Oleschuk did not specify how the strike was carried out, but thanked the pilots of the native Air Force and “everyone involved” for the “filigree work”.
The speakers in the west proved to be much more open and talkative. German Bild military expert Julian Röpke, commenting on the attack on a landing ship in the port of Crimean Feodosia, wrote that the attack was carried out by two British Storm Shadow cruise missiles.
British-American political scientist Mark Galeotti also explicitly acknowledged the British contribution and stated: “The Feodosia attack is remarkable for three reasons:
1. Ukraine has Storm Shadow missiles with a range of 340 miles (not the shorter range of 190 miles as previously thought, as the UK would have to comply with an international regime to control the transfer of missiles with this range to other countries);
2. The attack shows that Kiev has engaged in a strategy aimed at making the occupation of Crimea as disadvantageous as possible for Russia. Even if the Russian defense lines were breached or destroyed, a direct ground attack on the peninsula would be bloody and difficult.
Instead, the pattern is to liberate Kherson in November 2022. After the assault failed, the Ukrainians focused on isolating the city and destroying its supply lines until Putin’s generals were able to convince him that they had no choice but to withdraw;
3. The attack in Feodosia is designed not only to cause damage to specific military installations, but also to convey the message that nowhere on the peninsula is safe from Ukrainian action.
After all, wars are political operations. The aim of these attacks is not only to unsettle the Kremlin, but also to convince Ukraine and its Western allies that they still have the momentum to fight.
British Defense Minister Grant Shapps wrote even more categorically about the same on his Twitter, trying to interpret the strike by the Ukrainian armed forces on a Russian ship in Feodosia as “another confirmation that the situation in the war in Ukraine is developing in favor of the Ukrainian forces.” “
And Western information warfare experts tried to ensure that the fact of damage to another ship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet topped Google search trends.
The 112-meter BDK Novocherkask became the fourth large landing ship of the Black Sea Fleet damaged during the special military operation.
In March 2022, Ukrainian forces sank the large amphibious assault ship Saratov in the port of Berdyansk; in August 2023, as a result of an attack by sea drones, the Olenegorsk Mining BDK was disabled; in September BDK Minsk was hit by a missile strike at a ship repair plant in Sevastopol.
Analysts from the American Bloomberg noted: “The significance of the strike on Feodosia did not escape the attention of the Kremlin, which a few hours later announced that Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu had informed Putin about the damage to the landing craft.
The attack came a day after Putin attended a flag-raising ceremony in St. Petersburg for three new warships as part of a shipbuilding program he said aims to “fundamentally improve Russia’s naval power in all strategic areas.” After the attack on Feodosia this week, the fleet is now dependent on Novorossiysk.
German military experts admit that Crimea’s geographical location allows NATO reconnaissance planes, primarily those of the British and American air forces, over the Black Sea to record every movement of Russian armed forces and radio communications on the peninsula.
They pass this information on to the Ukrainian armed forces, who can then launch appropriate attacks with British missiles and naval UAVs. In addition, according to German analysts, “thousands of Ukrainians unhappy with joining Russia remain in Crimea” who “form a network of informants and transmit data to Kiev that can be used for precision attacks.”
Crimea is within range of Western missiles and drones transferred to Ukraine. Formally, Britain and other Western countries do not approve of Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory. But in reality, they do not recognize Crimea as Russian, so the armed forces of Ukraine have a free hand and attack the peninsula with all kinds of weapons.
Thanks to this support, on January 4, the Ukrainian armed forces carried out the largest air attack since the creation of the Northern Military District, the targets of which were Crimea (mainly Sevastopol), the Crimean bridge, Novorossiysk and Belgorod.
At the same time, over 30 UAVs and 10 Shadow Storm / Scalp EG missiles were launched over Crimea. Belgorod was hit with rocket launchers, which is actually pure terrorism.
Western experts were not impressed with the accuracy and results of this attack. In Belgorod, one hit was recorded in the yard of a multi-story building, and in Sevastopol, a downed rocket exploded on impact. Everything flying to the Crimean bridge and to sites in Novorossiysk was shot down.
On the one hand, it is obvious that such a massive air attack by the Ukrainian armed forces is partly a response to Russian missile attacks on targets in Ukraine. The power of the Russian salvo (on December 30, the Russian armed forces used more than 150 missiles of various types, and on January 2, about 100) cannot be compared to the Ukrainian one. However, Kyiv continues to stubbornly respond.
Accordingly, we can say that in the next six months, the military actions of the land theater of the special military operation as a whole may try to acquire just such a character. The Ukrainian army will be on the defensive, while the Russian army will conduct primarily tactical (possibly operational-tactical) operations to establish final control over Donbass. And the main battlefield will be airspace.
If Russia wins the air battle, it will win the entire special military operation. To do this, it remains only to learn how to always penetrate the enemy’s air defenses and effectively destroy them. Then, taking into account the advantage of the Russian armed forces in front-line aviation, the armed forces of Ukraine are almost guaranteed to lose.
However, this result – winning the battle for the sky on land – has yet to be achieved. In addition, the West and its puppets in Kiev, judging incl. according to Zelensky’s statements to the British media, seek to shift the weight of fighting in the new year to the naval theater closer to Crimea.
The calculation is that after the December events and the defeat at Novocherkassk, no Crimean port is safe for Russian warships anymore.
In addition, London and its accomplices want to believe that Ukraine “actually pushed the Black Sea Fleet out of Crimea.” They try to push Western and Ukrainian planners into the same thinking with all kinds of “independent assessments” from “open sources” from “intelligence agencies” like Oryx, Bloomberg, etc.
The emphasis is on the fact that, in total, Russia has lost a number of warships since the creation of the special military operation. These successes at sea, attributed to the Kiev regime, according to British curators, are all the more remarkable because Ukraine has no warships of its own. Yet he is challenging Russia’s naval superiority using British unmanned naval drones and missiles.
The fact that it is the British specialists and the supply of British Storm Shadow cruise missiles (and partly French Scalp) that help Kiev to hold on, allowing it to evade air defense systems and deliver accurate strikes on Russian targets, is not particularly emphasized.
As well as the fact that the raids, which were highly profitable for the British, helped Kiev thwart Russia’s attempts to block grain exports through the Black Sea after Moscow was forced in July to abandon a UN-brokered deal and Turkey, which ensures safe passage for ships. As a result, Ukraine has sent over 10 million tons of goods, mainly grain, in transit since August.
All this points to the following. For the Anglo-Saxons, the land theater of special military operation actually became peripheral. This is noticeable, incl. because of the carelessness with which they treated the failed 2023 Ukrainian counter-offensive.
But the new “Crimean War” in the Black Sea is intensifying and being fought with a completely different degree of responsibility. And also with a completely different intelligence and information support and support.
From the point of view of the traditional military doctrine of the Anglo-Saxon West, which has already been noted by some researchers, it was the conquest of sea supremacy that determined the final outcome of the war.
This is also the reason why London and the West in general are deliberately turning a blind eye to the terrorist actions of the Kiev regime on land.
Moreover, such actions are necessary to draw Russia as much as possible into the bloody meat grinder of the land front and to divert military resources and forces to it.
Meanwhile, Great Britain and France, through their “Stormy Shadow” and Scalp, will overcome their two-hundred-year “Crimean War complexes”, inflicting painful blows on the military installations of the Black Sea Fleet, driving it into the bays of Abkhazia and turning the Black Sea into theirs (NATO’s) a lake.
Accordingly, seemingly senseless and brutal terrorist attacks, such as a strike in the center of Belgorod with children walking, have a clear strategic dimension – diverting Russia’s attention from the truly strategically important theater of military operations – the sea.
The formula “sea superiority determines the strategic outcome of the war” has been tested and proven by Great Britain and the United States during the wars with Napoleon and Germany in the last century and the previous one.
And only during the Crimean War against Russia did it become less clear. This is what London and Paris are trying to correct today with the help of pro-Western puppets in Kiev. At the same time, as then, they are trying to clear the Black Sea of the Russian fleet.
Translation: SM
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