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Political polls, Pd recovering earlier than the electoral blackout for the European elections: the hole with FdI is narrowing

Virtually two weeks after the vote for the European elections on 8 and 9 June, the hole between the Brothers of Italy and the Pd is narrowing in keeping with the most recent out there polls, earlier than the blackout which can prohibit their publication. This was confirmed right now by Supermedia Youtrend and the Ipsos survey for the Corriere della Serathe most recent Swg detection for TgLa7 (two days in the past).

Among the many followers of the prime minister’s social gathering Giorgia Meloni subsequently the political drive led by shines Elly Schlein. The hole between the 2 events could be 6.2 (with a acquire of +0.4) for Supermedia Youtrend, 6 (with a acquire of 0.3) for Swg, and even solely 4 for Ipsos.

Supermedia Youtrend

The most recent Supermedia earlier than the electoral blackout primarily confirms the tendencies which have emerged in current weeks: Brothers of Italy remains to be the primary social gathering, however ‘nailed’ at 27.2%, whereas the Democratic Get together reaches 21% that the Dems didn’t discover since earlier than the 2022 elections. Behind, the 5 Star Motion is secure at just below 16%, whereas the restoration of the League is recorded, whose development in current weeks culminates in a ‘counter-overtaking’ of Forza Italia.

Nevertheless, each majority forces present, within the medium time period, a constructive development that would take them to 9%, if not even increased.

Behind it, the ‘face to face’ between america of Europe, Avs and Motion is all the time tight, three lists enclosed in half a degree between the decisive 4%. Removed from this threshold, the Freedom and Peace Earth Dignity lists, respectively Cateno De Luca e Michele Santoroeach quoted round 2%.

This, intimately, is SUPERMEDIA

FDI 27,2 (=)

PD 21,0 (+0,4)

M5S 15,9 (=)

Lega 8,7 (+0,3)

Forza Italia-NM 8.5 (-0.1)

United States of Europe 4.4 (-0.3)

Greens/Left 4.3 (+0.2)

Motion 3.9 (=)

Peace Earth Dignity 2.1 (+0.1)

Freedom 2.0 (-0.1)

Ipsos polls

In response to the institute led by Nando Pagnoncelli, Fratelli d’Italia stays the primary social gathering adopted by the Democratic Get together: rising at 22.5%, solely 4 factors separate the Dems from the Melonians. The 5 Star Motion completes the rostrum at 15.4%.

For the title of second majority social gathering, Forza Italia comes out on high, face to face with the League. Among the many smaller events, nonetheless, solely america of Europe and the Inexperienced-Left Alliance stay above the brink.

The Swg surveys

Sale Fratelli d’Italia and in addition the Democratic Get together (by half a proportion level), which steals votes from the M5S (-0.5%). And Forza Italia is overtaking the League, as proven within the newest SWG survey for La7 on Monday 20 Might.

The 2 fundamental events of the opposing sides are rising in the important thing week of the TV confrontation between Giorgia Meloni and Elly Schlein, scheduled for Might twenty third on Porta a Porta on Rai Uno after which canceled after months of negotiations with the cease coming from Agcom. And so, nearly 20 days after the vote for the European elections, the Democratic Get together positive aspects half a proportion level in voting intentions, reaching 21%. Similar hole (-0.5%) that the M5S loses Giuseppe Contenow at 15.7%.

Within the centre-right, FdI rises barely (+0.2%) nonetheless positioning itself in first place with 27%. The actual information issues Forza Italia-Noi Moderati which surpasses the League by little or no: the social gathering based by Silvio Berlusconi is now at 8.4% (+0.1%) and the Northern League at 8.3% (-0. 3%).

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– 2024-05-23 18:03:27

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