“We were happy to write with four hands, but on the substance of the project, there was really this idea that the political debate on the determinants of the vote is led astray today by a certain number of assertions which are not supported by the everything, in particular that the left would have abandoned the working classes, that they would no longer vote on the left, or even that according to which the questions of immigration, religion, identity would be at the center of electoral behavior “says the economist Julia Cagé.
“You have to look at historical hindsight, provide a long-term analysis, and it turns out that in France, we are lucky to have almost 250 years of data” she says about the book “A history of political conflict” at Seuil, which they sign with Thomas Piketty.
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“Before 1993, the work of digitizing the electoral results had never been done. We undertook to digitize all of this data, which can be found on the site. On the 2022 elections, we explain 70% of the discrepancies of voting simply with wealth, average income, housing value, profession, diploma, etc. In 1981, 50% was explained, in 1848, 30%”he explains. “The most striking result is that social class has never been more important than today in explaining voting.”
2023-09-06 07:57:01
#Julia #Cagé #Thomas #Piketty #Macron #vote #bourgeois #history
