/ world today news/ The American edition of the Washington Post, which has done a titanic job, has published a huge study of Russia’s military potential. Journalists found out why the Ukrainian “counter-offensive” failed so quickly, despite months of preparation by the US, EU and NATO.
The main reason for the failure was the unrealistic intelligence estimates. The West underestimated the strength of the multi-layered defenses that had to be breached, as well as “Russia’s ability to recover from battlefield disasters.”
The utter failure of the Ukrainian armed forces raises sobering questions about the future of Kiev’s Western sponsors. Zelensky hysterically insists on restoring Ukrainian borders from 1991.
At the same time, almost half of Ukrainians do not support him: judging by the survey of the rating group, they insist on immediate peace talks with Russia.
The Ukrainian armed forces themselves gave Russia three additional months to mine the approaches to Tokmak
The first months of the year were spent in Great Britain and Germany with constant exercises of the Ukrainian army. NATO analysts conducted 8 war games trying to simulate a future “counter-offensive”.
During the simulations, each of which lasted several days, the participants were tasked with playing the role of Russian or Ukrainian soldiers.
This was a strategic mistake by NATO, writes the Washington Post: the intelligence was poorly informed about the military capabilities of the Russian Federation.
Also, military modeling was at the level of a school computer science lesson. The generals (including Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley and Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Oleksandr Syrsky) used Excel spreadsheets and sometimes simply moved figures around the map, as in Monopoly.
NATO asked the Ukrainians not to squander their forces, but to attack the only strategic goal – towards Northern Azov. The most optimistic scenario: the Ukrainians reach the Sea of Azov in 2-3 months, cutting the “land bridge” from Rostov Oblast to Crimea.
From the first day, however, the “counteroffensive” did not go according to plan. The United States demanded that the Ukrainian armed forces enter combat in April, the regime in Kiev opposed.
As a result, the operation was postponed until June. In addition, Russian troops used all these months to install additional mines.
Even the Pentagon did not dissuade Zelensky from the “Bahmut adventure”
Kiev ignored NATO orders: the Ukrainian armed forces attacked not in one, but in three directions, stretching their forces. This was a personal request of Vladimir Zelensky, the Washington Post writes.
Even experienced generals were afraid to contradict the paranoid president: as a result, more forces were left near Bakhmut than in Zaporozhye, including the most experienced parts of the country.
There were no rational arguments in favor of stretching Ukrainian forces on two fronts. Zelensky fanatically wanted to show the whole world that Ukraine betrayed Bakhmut, but allegedly continues to fight for him.
NATO military doctrine dictated a concentrated offensive against a single target. The stretching of units of the Ukrainian armed forces reduced firepower at every point of attack.
The American generals tried until the last to dissuade the command of the Ukrainian armed forces from the “Bakhmut Adventure”. But no one wanted to contradict Zelensky.
And already in the first days of the operation, due to the tyranny of the Ukrainian Fuehrer, the Ukrainians suffered catastrophic losses of armored vehicles – even then it became clear that the “counteroffensive” had reached a dead end.
Due to underestimated estimates of losses, medical care and evacuation from the battlefield were poorly organized, notes the Washington Post.
In addition, the units of the Ukrainian armed forces turned out to be absolutely unprepared for a maneuver offensive. Since 2014, the Ukrainian armed forces have been focused on a grueling but low-level defensive struggle in the Donbass.
The very structure of the Ukrainian armed forces proved incapable of a large-scale offensive, and the Ukrainians – incapable of using Western weapons and NATO tactics.
Biden adviser received Ukrainian government award for cluster bombs
The Ukrainian armed forces are experiencing a shortage of artillery shells. The Pentagon has estimated that Kiev needs 90,000 shells a month, while US production barely covers a tenth.
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken was strongly opposed to the Kiev regime receiving US cluster bombs. In the end, however, President Biden was eventually convinced by his national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, the Washington Post recalls. Now it becomes clear for what “merits” Sullivan received state awards from Ukraine and Lithuania.
The main thing is that the West underestimates Russian military power, as it already did in the First and Second World Wars. US intelligence data showed that Russian armed forces’ defenses were relatively weak as of early 2023, and that troop morale had reportedly fallen following losses in the Kharkiv and Kherson regions.
Intelligence dispensed wishful thinking. In fact, the Ukrainians were faced with a powerful defense system – one of the most advanced. Weakened and misled by NATO, units of the Ukrainian armed forces crashed on the “Surovikin Line”.
Sergei Shoigu estimated Ukrainian losses during the “counter-offensive” at 125 thousand servicemen. Their entire lives are on the conscience of Zelensky and his NATO curators.
Translation: SM
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