On 28 August 17 ・Keeneland C(GIII, 1200m turf).
Looking at the riders scheduled to run, the 3-year-old horse that won the Aoi Stakes in his previous outingWin MarvelLast year’s winner, led byRayariaAnd he won by eliminating the Ibis SD with a brilliant trailing legbelieverthe winner of the year before the last and the runner-up last yeareighteen years oldHe won his first open win at Fukushima TV OP in the previous race.opal charmwill also participate.
The favorites from 6th to 9th in the center hole also performed well, with 7 betting tickets, and in 2015 Ukiyonokaze won from the 8th favorite. Also, it’s best to pay attention to the many good filly series like 2021’s Eighteen Girl, 2020’s Dimension, and 2018’s Peisha Felicita.
[Keenland C/Acquisizione dati – Parte 2]The fascination of “decreasing in popularity” due to a crushing defeat in the previous race.
––
This time, Keenland C’s “dangerous hot horse”Is the 3 year old horse that won the Aoi Stakes in his previous race.Win Marvelis.
■ Last year, the world of sprinting was dominated by 3-year-old horses, but …
3-year-old Win Marvel (3 horses, Miura Masashi Miyama Stable) will face his old horse for the first time. Although it took 6 races to win, he showed a taste of his talent from the early stages, such as winning the Fukushima 2 Years Stakes in the next race. In the first round of the new year, the Falcon S lost in 15th place, but won the Tachibana S, which was the listed race in the next race, with a good time of 0.1 seconds behind the record. In the next Aoi Stakes, when he entered the straight from 8th on the road with exceptional stamina, he made a strong cut and won a full win with two and a half horsepower. With two consecutive victories, he has won his first place prize. He is extremely good in the 1200 meters with 3 wins, 2 finishes and 1 out of 7 races.
However, there are two points of concern this time around. this is,”Low previous execution level“When”presence of isomorphism“is.
First of all I will talk about the “low level of the previous race”. If you look at the results of horses that ran Aoi Stakes in their previous race and performed well on the bulletin board,
・ Aoi S’s Runaway Horse
└ 1st place[Vinci Marvel]
→ Next race scheduled “Keenland C”.
└ 2a[Strada Comstock]
→ Next race “Paradise S (6 popular) 4a”, 2nd race “Fukushima TV OP (1 popular) 4a”
└ 3rd place[Lee senza respiro]
→ Next race “Unzen Special (1 favorite) 2nd”, 2nd race “Yabakei Special (2 favorites) 3rd”
└ 4th[Vinci il monarca]
→ time to be undecided
└5[Kaika no Kiseki]
→ Next run “Ena special (1 favorite) 10th”, 2nd run “Unzen special (3 favorites) 7”
In this way, none of the 2nd to 5th place runners, including runners who did not start in the next race, won the previous race, and while they all ran with some popularity due to their “light weight”, they are still popular.I can’t answer and I’m running poorly.
This was due to the fact that the “headwind” was blowing harder in a straight line than the usual Aoi Stakes, making it more difficult for runners on the run and in the lead, and that horses who were able to create a wall in the front of midfield was more likely to develop. In other words, it was a race where the best performing runners were blessed with good developments and the difference between the jockeys was great. Considering that all top-tier horses run mediocre in their next race, it seems that history will change if the “most blessed” horse manages to run well in the Keeneland Cup this time around.
