Experts alarm: Back to school is a drastic increase in the number of cases, even several thousand a day

Scientists dealing with forecasting the epidemic in Poland recommend delaying the return of children to school – we read in the Wednesday Gazeta Prawna daily.

The newspaper cites an analysis performed by the team of Dr. Franciszek Rakowski from the Interdisciplinary Modeling Center of the University of Warsaw (ICM). It follows from it, that if we open all the facilities at the same time, the number of daily cases may increase up to several thousand cases a day. “As a result, even a few dozen poviats will be included in the red list with the most severe restrictions” – indicates “DGP”.

According to the newspaper, from the calculations of Dr. Rakowski and his team show that The R indicator – which shows the number of people infected on average by one person with the coronavirus – could rise to 2. “Currently, it is around 1.2. When the index value is lower than one, the pandemic is extinguished,” the article recalled.

The newspaper points out that the problem of returning to school is not only due to the fact that without introducing precautionary measures, such as bubbles (groups smaller than the class that study together and spend their free time, not mixing with children from other bubbles) , children in schools are in contact with others almost all the time. “It is also problematic that many of them will only just come back from vacation. Sometimes foreign. It could be with an infection“- marks the journal.