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Delta Variant Peak Spread Prediction Expert

Experts assess the spread of the Delta variant will not subside in the near future.

REPUBLIKA.CO.ID, JAKARTA — The Covid-19 pandemic seems to be getting under control, before varian Delta appear. Now, the Delta variant dominates many Covid-19 cases in various countries and is expected to soon dominate Covid-19 cases in the world according to the World Health Organization (WHO).

In the United States (US), for example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) revealed that currently 58 percent of Covid-19 cases in the country are caused by the Delta variant. In fact, about two weeks earlier, the percentage of Covid-19 cases in the US caused by the Delta variant had only reached 31 percent, and in May it was only 3 percent.

Former Food and Drug Administration (FDA) chief Scott Gottlieb MD said the developments indicated that the Delta variant was spreading very quickly. Gottlieb rate Delta variant deployment won’t be abating any time soon.

According to Gottlieb’s predictions, the worst of the surge in cases of the Delta variant is yet to come. The spread of Covid-19 cases is expected to continue to worsen, before improving.

Gottlieb also predicts that the peak of the surge in cases of the Delta variant may occur in the next few months. In the US, Gottlieb estimates that the peak of the surge in cases of the Delta variant will occur around the end of September 2021.

“Apparently, that’s what happened,” explained Gottlieb, as reported by BestLife, Thursday (15/7).

To anticipate this, Gottlieb assessed that areas with low vaccination coverage and experiencing an increase in Covid-19 cases need to tighten restrictions again. Gottlieb assessed that tightening restrictions and public health guidelines during a pandemic need to be adjusted to the prevalence and local risks in each region, not on a national scale.

“This is going to be a very regional epidemic,” Gottlieb said.

In addition, Gottlieb also said that people who have been vaccinated, especially those at risk, still need to adhere to health protocols. Some examples are the elderly aged over 65 years and individuals at high risk of health problems.

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