Coronavirus in Mexico today: the worst scenario in the Valley of Mexico would reach 3,000 serious cases

The head of the Government of Mexico City, Claudia Sheinbaum, estimated this Monday about 3,000 serious cases by COVID-19 in the worst scenario of the pandemic in the Metropolitan Area of ​​the Valley of Mexico (ZMVM). This comprises Mexico City and 59 conurbation municipalities of the State of Mexico where some 22 million people live.

“In terms of intubation we are thinking that if we keep a healthy distance (hygiene and prevention measures) and stay home and if conditions are established, it is estimated that we could reach 1,800 people who are in intensive care by COVID-19Sheinbaum said in a video conference call.

In the worst case scenario we estimate about 3,000 cases which is what we are preparing for

The mayor added that, in the worst case scenario, they estimate up to 8,000 people hospitalized in total, without being all seriously ill.

The Mexican health authorities have said according to the mathematical projections that on May 6 the pandemic will reach its maximum transmission peak in the country, being the Mexican capital the area that so far reports the largest number of cases.

On the other hand, Sheinbaum reported that hospitals in the Secretariats of National Defense (Sedena) and Navy (Semar) in Mexico City will help with 1,000 and 140 beds, respectively.

But in the case of Marina there will be Isolation Centers, spaces where you can receive about 800 people with mild symptoms.

They are isolation spaces for people with mild symptoms and who prefer not to stay at home, where people can convalesce if the disease is not serious

The official explained that the average occupation of hospitals is 60% among hospitalized patients without intubation and with intubation and that this saturation will decrease with the support of the hospitals of the Armed Forces.

“The (number) of intubated is not growing as much as in hospitalized,” and he noted that this is because people are getting to hospitals earlier.

Mexico City officially registers 6,417 confirmed infections, 1,894 active, 3,217 suspects, 2,229 hospitalized, 870 intubated, 1,700 recovered and 472 deaths.

According to data from the Ministry of Health, The Mexican capital has 59% of the beds for ventilators (for critically ill) and 66% of general hospital beds.

Nationally, Mexico reached 2,154 deaths and 23,471 confirmed cases of COVID-19. The 1,434 cases registered in the last 24 hours represent an increase of 6.1% regarding the 23,471 that were reported in the previous report, explained the director of Epidemiology, José Luis Alomía, at a press conference at the National Palace.

Mexico is on day 43 of the so-called National Day of Healthy Distance, a set of measures to prevent the spread of the virus that will continue until May 30 and which includes the closure of non-essential activities of public, private and social activities.

The director of Epidemiology reported that In addition to the 117 deaths in the last 24 hours, 190 suspicious deaths have been reported and whose causes of death are under study to determine whether or not it was due to the coronavirus.

Mexico City is the territorial entity with the highest occupancy of beds with 69%, followed by Sinaloa, Baja California and Quintana Roo, which are above 50%.

* With information from EFE

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