The fear of the corona virus is great – but is the concern also proportional? Current statistics show what the facts really look like at the moment.
The fear of the corona virus is great. But how dangerous is it SARS-CoV-2 for real? To the death rates there are different statistical data. Basically, one can deduce from this that the death rate is higher than that of the annual flu waves, but many population groups are hardly at risk and it also depends on the medical care in the affected regions.
This is excellent in Germany. Until Sunday noon there was not a single reported coronavirus death in Germany, In Italy, however, 29 deaths were recorded as of Saturday.
Death rates for flu waves at 0.1 to 0.2 percent – significantly higher for coronavirus
Lothar Wieler, President of the Robert Koch Institute, said at a press conference on Thursday that the death rate at annual flu outbreaks in Germany is 0.1 to 0.2 percent of patients. On average, one to two of 1,000 patients die. That is why the experts would also urgently recommend an annual flu shot in Germany. In comparison, they are statistical death rates of the coronavirus “five to ten times as high”, said Wieler. But: These rates “change continuously because we don’t have that many numbers yet”, the expert classified these statistics.
The American researchers provide other figures Johns Hopkins University, There were 86,987 registered coronavirus patients by Sunday morning. So far, 42,596 people have been cured – 41,663 are active. There are now more people who are healed than those who are currently ill. However, 2979 people have died of the corona virus so far – a share of 3.42 percent. The rate is therefore significantly higher than the death rate stated by the President of the Robert Koch Institute. The majority of deaths occurred in China (2,761), followed by Iran (43) and Italy (29). A death rate of around 2.57 percent can currently be calculated for Italy (1128 sufferers, 29 deaths).
The number of unreported cases of mild cases is likely to reduce coronavirus death rates significantly
The unreported However, it must be considered: people who have contracted the coronavirus without noticing it because the course of the disease is very mild. These unregistered, mild cases are likely to significantly affect and reduce the above-mentioned death rate statistics. Also the total number of infections. The Virologist Sandra Ciesek from the University Hospital Frankfurt, for example, assumes a high number of unreported cases,
Coronavirus: Younger with the best chance of recovery
Distributed across different age groups, China shows that patients under 50 who have no previous illnesses have the best chance of recovery. For example, in China Covid-19 death rate of under 40-year-olds at only 0.2 percent. According to these statistics, two out of 1,000 patients died. In contrast, the risk of death among seniors was significantly higher.
Coronavirus: 80 percent go through a mild course – but there are special risk groups
According to a Chinese study, 80.9 percent of those infected experienced a mild course of the disease. The data comes from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. So it was 72,314 cases evaluated,
According to this study, people with have the highest risk of death Cardiovascular diseases, as well as diabetics and patients with chronic respiratory diseases and high blood pressure, Healthcare workers are also a special risk group.
Also read: These symptoms are typical after a Covid19 infection
Virologist: Up to 70 percent of Germans will become infected
Also the Chief virologist of the Berlin Charité, Christian Drosten, calm down. Although he assumes that 60 to 70 percent of Germans will become infected with the corona virus over time, the virus can “be kept on a very, very small flame with us.” Maybe on a flame so small that “that we hardly notice that in everyday life, ”he predicts for the coming months opposite the Bild newspaper,
“If the whole pandemic happens before the virus becomes a common cold virus and no longer stands out, it can be dealt with in two years, we can deal with it,” said Drosten. The time component is decisive: “At the moment we have a very, very good chance of stopping the temporary spread of this virus significantly.” In summer, heat, UV rays and leisure activities outside help to reduce the spread.
A coronavirus vaccine is not in sight for 2020 – but it is difficult to make a forecast here either.
List of rubric lists: © picture alliance / dpa / Marcel Kusch
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