How much a reduction to 20 percent, for example New cases this calculation example would be decisive (that would be the flattening of the curve):
Let’s take April 1st as the target date. Spreads that virus with the current rate of increase of 33 percent, we would in 16 days around 76,700 diseases and would need 3,835 intensive care beds. This is about twice the current capacity.
If we succeed in reducing the rate of increase to 20 percent, we would have it on April 1st “only” around 14,800 sufferers and would need 740 intensive care beds. That would work out with the available capacity.
International comparison
The infection rate (actually two weeks ago because it is now visible) is in Austria so far too high. It must be the collective effort to push it down through the highest discipline in avoiding social contacts.
However, the situation is far more dramatic in other European countries – let’s look at the figures from Saturday morning. In Spain the number of newly infected people increased by 129.8 percent (!), in Germany by 55.1 percent, in France by 60 percent in the Switzerland even by 74 percent. Also in England the increase was 74.5 percent. Leader in the Growth figures were Estonia (393%), Finland (+ 162%) and Greece (+ 91.9%). Here, however, the absolute number of cases is even lower.
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